Hawks vs Heat Game 2 Odds & Recommended Bet

Atlanta Hawks (45-40 SU, 39-46-0 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (54-29 SU, 47-35-1 ATS)
When: Tuesday April 19 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)
Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
TV: BSSE-ATL

Point Spread: ATL +7/MIA -7 (Opened GSW -7.5 at MyBookie)
Total: 224 (Opened at 223.5)
Money Line: Atlanta Hawks 235/Miami Heat -290
Power Rating: MIA -8

Probable Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks PG Trae Young, SG Kevin Huerter, SF De’Andre Hunter, PF Danilo Gallinari, C Onyeka Okongwu

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry, SG Max Strus, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker Q, C Bam Adebayo Q

Key Injuries

Atlanta Hawks
Bogdan Bogdanovic: Ankle (PROBABLE)
Lou Williams: Back (OUT)
Clint Capela: Knee (OUT)
Chaundee Brown: Illness (OUT)

Miami Heat
P.J. Tucker: Calf (QUESTIONABLE)
Gabe Vincent: Toe (PROBABLE)
Markieff Morris: Hip (QUESTIONABLE)
Dewayne Dedmon: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Haywood Highsmith: Hip (QUESTIONABLE)
Bam Adebayo: Quadricep (QUESTIONABLE)

The Miami Heat host the Atlanta Hawks in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The Atlanta Hawks come into this game with an overall record of 43-39, placing them 10th in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Atlanta has struggled in their 43 road contests, sitting at 17-26. Over their last five games, the Hawks have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Atlanta’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 114.0 points per game. Combined, the Hawks’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. The Hawks have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 109.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 112.2. In the Atlanta Hawks’ most recent game, the team fell to Miami by a score of 115-91.

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 30-12. The Heat have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Miami is averaging 119.0 points per game, 9.0 points more than their season average of 110.1. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 112.0 points per contest. Even though the Heat have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 110.0 points per game, up from Miami’s usual rate of 105.4. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Atlanta by a score of 115-91.

Individual Player Analysis

As Atlanta travels to take on the Miami Heat, the Hawks’ leading scorer is Trae Young. Through 76 games, Young is averaging 28 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 50.0% of his games. Against the Heat, Young will need to be on top of his game as Miami is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 40.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 58 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. On the season, the Hawks have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, giving them a rank of 16th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Hawks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 112.9 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Atlanta is winning at a rate of 40%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 12.0 points. On the other side, the Heat hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 38 games as the better defensive team, picking up 29 wins (76%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat have met up for 5 games. In their last meeting, Miami picked up a 115-91 win.

How the Public is Betting the Hawks vs Heat

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 224

More Picks: Get Joe’s Minnesota at Memphis Game 2 Betting Analysis & ATS Bet >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
• Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
• Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Miami Heat come into this matchup looking for another dominant performance against the Hawks. Throughout game 1, Miami held the Hawks to just 38% shooting from the field, while hitting just 28% of their three-point shots. In particular, they were able to lockdown Trae Young, who finished with just 8 points. When looking at Miami’s season-long body of work, this result was of no surprise, as they held their opponent’s to the league’s lowest three-point shooting percentage. In addition, the Heat allowed an average of just 41 paint points per contest, also the top mark in the NBA. In tonight’s game, I don’t see Atlanta turning things around fast enough to pull off the upset. I recommend taking the Heat to once again cover the spread as 7 point favorites.