Grizzlies vs Mavericks: Expert Picks and Predictions for January 9

Memphis Grizzlies (13-23 SU, 15-21 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (22-15 SU, 21-16 ATS)

When: Tuesday, January 9th, 8:30 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, TX, Dallas

TV: NBA

Point Spread: Mem +8.5/Dal -8.5 (Check out the HUGE 20 points NBA teasers at Wagerweb!)

Total: 234.5

Money Line: Memphis Grizzlies +286/-365

Notable Injuries

Grizzlies

• Derrick Rose (Out) Hamstring
• Steven Adams (Out) Knee
• Jaren Jackson Jr. (Questionable) Right Knee
• Ja Morant (Out) Shoulder
• Brandon Clarke (Out) Achilles
• Santi Aldama (Doubtful) Knee

Mavericks

• Dante Exum (Out) Heel
• Maxi Kleber (Out) Toe
• Luka Doncic (Probable) Ankle
• Grant Williams (Probable) Ankle
• Dereck Lively II (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game against the Mavericks, the Grizzlies are looking to make it three in a row both straight up and against the spread. However, they come into today’s matchup as 8.5-point underdogs on the road. For the season, Memphis is 13th in the West with a record of 13-23.

So far, the Grizzlies have been the underdog in 23 of their 36 games and have a scoring margin of -8.9 points per game in those games. On the road, Memphis is 10-10 for the season.

Against the spread, the Grizzlies have a two-game winning streak and have improved their road ATS record to 11-9 for the season. Overall, they have gone 15-21 ATS as the underdog this year.

Memphis’ over/under record going into today’s game is 15-20-1, and the over has hit in two straight games. On average, their games have combined to finish at 221.3 points per contest this season.

Heading into today’s game vs. the Grizzlies, the Mavericks are 8.5-point favorites at home. Right now, Dallas is 6th in the West. Dallas comes in with a three-game winning streak, and has put together three straight wins at home as well. For the season, the Mavericks have gone 11-7 at home.

Against the spread, Dallas is 21-16 and have covered the spread in three straight games. When playing at home, they have an average scoring differential of +6.4 points per contest.

So far, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 22-15, and 18 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 234.5. The average over/under line in their games this season is 234.6.

When favored, Dallas has an average scoring margin of +7.1 points per game this season, and they have gone 15-8 ATS as the favorite. This season, they have been the favorite in 23 of their 37 games.

The Historicals

The level of competition has been tight in the five most recent games between the Grizzlies and Mavericks, with just 2 points per game separating the teams. Dallas has the ATS edge in this span at 3-2. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 2-3. Combined, they averaged 216 points in these games.

Analysis

Coming off a good offensive game against the Suns, the Grizzlies scored 121 points. This is above their season average of 107.8 points per game. In terms of offense, the Grizzlies are 29th in the NBA with a 44% field goal percentage. When it comes to three-pointers, they are 30th in percentage and 9th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Grizzlies’ defense is ranked 13th in the league at 113.5 points per contest. The Memphis defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.5% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Memphis.

In their last game, the Mavericks finished with 115 points, which is right around their current average of 119 points per game. Overall, the Mavericks are shooting 47% from the field, which puts them 17th in the NBA. From beyond the arc, the Mavericks are 16th in three-point percentage and have made the second-most three-pointers in the league.

At present, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 20th, allowing 116.8 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.3% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.4% of their three-point attempts.

Betting Trends

• The Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
• Dallas has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 110 points per game while allowing 122. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
• As the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups, their straight-up record was 3-2.
• As the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight-up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Without Ja Morant, I expect the Grizzlies to struggle and put an end to their two-game winning streak. With Luka Doncic listed as probable to play, I like Dallas to not only win but cover the spread at -8.5. Did you know that you could be betting your games at -105 odds instead of the spendier -110 option your bookie is sapping you with? Imagine how much cash you’d have saved by betting on games at reduced odds over the years! Surely THOUSANDS of dollars! Be wise! Make the switch to cheaper betting odds at a better sportsbook TODAY! Get signed up with BetAnySports! You’ll be glad you did!