Grizzlies vs. Lakers Game 4 Odds, Analysis, Free Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies (51-31 SU, 38-45-2 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (43-39 SU, 42-41-3 ATS)

When: Monday, April 24th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Mem +4.5/LAL -4.5 (Bet it FREE by scoring a 100% bonus!)

Total: 221

Money Line: Memphis Grizzlies +163/-198

Notable Injuries

Grizzlies

• Steven Adams (Out) Knee
• Brandon Clarke (Out) Achilles
• Jake LaRavia (Out) Calf

Lakers

• Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
• LeBron James (Probable) Foot
• Dennis Schröder (Probable) Achilles

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Memphis is 51-31 overall. When taking to the road, Memphis has a mark of 16-25 and a win percentage of 39%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 38-45-2 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 2-3 in their past 5 games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS.

In their last outing, Memphis was unable to come away with a win against the Lakers, losing by a score of 111-101. Ja Morant led the team with 45 points, but it was not enough to overcome their status as 4-point underdogs. The Grizzlies also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 43-39 overall. When playing at home, Los Angeles has a mark of 23-18 and a win percentage of 56%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 42-41-3 vs the spread. In Los Angeles’ last 5 games, the Lakers have a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 2-3 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 8-2 and 5-5 ATS.

In their previous game, the Los Angeles team emerged victorious against the Grizzlies, winning by a margin of 4 points as predicted. Anthony Davis was hot for the Lakers, scoring 31 points on a shooting percentage of 45.8%. The Lakers not only won the game but also successfully covered the spread.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Lakers picked up the 111-101 win over the Grizzlies. The Lakers’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 4.0 point favorite. So far this season, the Lakers have a record of 4-2 vs. the Grizzlies. Spanning across the last 5 head-to-head matchups, the Grizzlies, and Lakers have been competitive, with an average margin of victory sitting at just -2 points per game. This has resulted in a 3-2 ATS record for Los Angeles. Memphis and Los Angeles averaged a combined 218 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

 Analysis

This year, the Memphis offense is not only near the NBA average in points at 116.9 points per game, but they are also playing at a pace similar to the league average. So far, the Grizzlies are ranked 13th in possessions per contest. Memphis’ 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 35.1% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 34.2 3-point shots per game, placing them 13th in the NBA. Defensively, the Grizzlies have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 109.93 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.88%.

Coming into today’s game, Ja Morant is the leading scorer for Memphis at 26.2 points per game. This season, Morant has a field goal percentage of 46.6%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Desmond Bane, at 21.5 points per contest.

This season, Los Angeles is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game. So far, the Lakers are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.8 possessions per game. Los Angeles has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 34th in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.6%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.2 attempts per contest. The defense has been a struggle for Los Angeles, as they are currently allowing 115.15 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.38% of their looks from deep, placing the Lakers 18th in the NBA.

As the Lakers prepare for today’s game, LeBron James is their leading scorer with an average of 28.9 points per game. This season, James has a field goal percentage of 50.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Anthony Davis, who is averaging 25.9 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Grizzlies are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall.
• The Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight Monday games.
• The Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

I’ve said it once, and I’ll likely say it a bunch more times… At this point of the season, edges are hard to find. With that being said, I don’t love this game, but my lean is to the Grizz at +4.5. Question: Do you live bet games? If so, we highly recommend checking out Bovada Sportsbook’s live betting platform! It blows away the rest! All sports on one page, FAST processing of bets, nice fat limits. They’re not cheesy like most other books! You get a 50% bonus too! It’s where we bet!