Grizzlies vs. Celtics Betting Odds & Predictions 2/12/23

Memphis Grizzlies (34-21 SU, 26-27-2 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (40-16 SU, 28-26-2 ATS)
When: Sunday, February 12th, 2:00 PM (ET)
Where: TD Garden, MA, Boston
TV: ABC

Point Spread: Mem +4/Bos -4
Total: 229.5
Money Line: Memphis Grizzlies +149/-180

Notable Injuries

Grizzlies

• Steven Adams (Out) Knee

Celtics

• Marcus Smart (Out) Ankle
• Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
• Jaylen Brown (Out) Face
• Malcolm Brogdon (Probable) Achilles

Recent Form

Memphis is 34-21 overall heading into the game. When taking to the road, Memphis has a mark of 11-16 and a win percentage of 41%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 26-27-2 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Boston, the Memphis Grizzlies have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

In their previous game, the Memphis team emerged victorious against the Timberwolves, winning by a margin of 6 points as predicted. Ja Morant shone for the Grizzlies, scoring 32 points on a shooting percentage of 56.5%. The Grizzlies not only won the game but also successfully covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Boston is 40-16 overall. When playing at home, Boston has a mark of 22-7 and a win percentage of 76%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 28-26-2 vs. the spread. Boston will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Memphis, as they are the winners of 3 straight games.

The Celtics are looking to build on their recent 127-116 victory against the Hornets. Jayson Tatum led the team with 41 points. When it came to the spread, Boston and the Hornets ended up with an ATS push.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Celtics picked up a 109-106 win over the Grizzlies. However, heading into the game, Boston was favored to win by 3.5 points, giving the Grizzlies and ATS victory. This matchup was the only one between the two teams this season. Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Celtics have an average scoring margin of +12 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-1. Combined, they averaged 236 points in these games.

Analysis

This season, Memphis is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 116.2 points per game. So far, the Grizzlies are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.3 possessions per game. Memphis’ 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 34.4% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 32.6 3-point shots per game, placing them 19th in the NBA. Defensively, the Grizzlies have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 109.93 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.88%.

Going into today’s game, Ja Morant is the leading scorer for the Memphis team with an average of 27.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 47.0%. The team’s second top scorer is Dillon Brooks, who is averaging 14.9 points per game.

For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 117.6 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.3 possessions per contest. Boston’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 7th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.6%. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Heading into today’s game, Boston will need a strong offensive effort from Jayson Tatum and the team’s supporting cast as Jaylen Brown won’t be available vs. Memphis. So far, Brown is averaging 26.5 points per game. Tatum leads the Celtics at 30.8 points per contest.

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Betting Trends

• The Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points.
• The Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• The Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Memphis Grizzlies have caught fire all of a sudden, winning their last two games by 15 and 21 points. The Celtics have been playing well too, but I’ll gladly take the Grizz at +4 against a Boston team playing without Jaylen Brown, who will likely be looking to hurry home to their Super Bowl parties. This might be the only day of the season that being a home team is a disadvantage!