Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Preview | April 16

Golden State Warriors (46-36 SU, 43-38 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (46-36 SU, 42-40 ATS)

When: Tuesday, April 16th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento

TV: TNT

Point Spread: GS -3/Sac +3

Total: 224

Money Line: Golden State Warriors -151/+125

Notable Injuries

Warriors

• Gary Payton II (Out) Calf

Kings

• Malik Monk (Out) Knee
• Kevin Huerter (Out) Shoulder

At 10:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-151) will travel to Sacramento to take on the Kings (+125). The over/under line for this Western Pacific division matchup is set at 224.

Golden State (46-36) is currently 10th in the Western Conference, while the Kings (46-36) are just one spot ahead of them in 9th. The Warriors are favored by 3 points on the road.

Recent Form

In their last game, the Warriors defeated the Jazz by a score of 123-116. Golden State was favored by 10.5 points in that game. The O/U line for the game was 224.5.

This season, the Warriors have an O/U record of 41-40-1. Their games have averaged a combined 232.9 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 224.

Against the spread, Golden State is 43-38 this season. On the road, they have an ATS record of 27-14 compared to 16-24 at home. The team has won their last two games against the spread.

As the favorite, the Warriors have a record of 37-18 this season. On average, they have outscored their opponents by 5.6 points per game in these games. Against the spread, they are 26-29 as the favorite.

In the Western Conference standings, the Warriors are currently in 10th place with a record of 46-36. In the Pacific Division, they are 5th. Against Western Conference teams, the Warriors are 26-26 compared to 20-10 against the East.

Sacramento is looking to extend their ATS win streak to three games today. As the underdog, they have gone 16-11 ATS at home and 24-17 ATS on the road.

This season, the Kings have an average scoring differential of +2.3 points per game at home and +1.2 points per game on the road. They are 18-23 ATS at home and 24-17 ATS on the road.

In their last game against the Trail Blazers, the Kings won 121-82 as 17.5-point favorites. The O/U line for that game was 214, and Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 37-44-1.

The Kings are currently 9th in the Western Conference with a record of 46-36. Against Western Conference opponents, they are 30-22 compared to 16-14 in non-conference games.

On average, Sacramento’s games have seen a combined scoring total of 231.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 224, and the team has gone under the O/U line in their last two games.

The Historicals

Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Warriors have an average scoring margin of +6 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 2-3. Combined, they averaged 234 points in these games.

Analysis

So far this season, the Warriors are 8th in the league in scoring at 117.8 points per game. However, they have actually been better on the road, averaging 118.0 points per game compared to 117.5 at home.

When it comes to their pace of play, Golden State is 12th in the NBA at 99.3 possessions per game. In terms of shooting efficiency, the Warriors are 13th in field goal percentage and 12th in true shooting percentage.

One area where the Warriors have excelled is three-point shooting. They are 2nd in the NBA in made threes at 14.8 per game and 6th in three-point shooting percentage. When it comes to free throws, Golden State is 27th in attempts and 24th in made free throws.

Currently, the Warriors’ defense holds the 18th rank in the NBA, allowing 115.2 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Warriors squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 53.8% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.9% from downtown.

At home this season, the Kings are scoring 118.5 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 9th in scoring at 116.6 points per game. In terms of pace, Sacramento is 14th in the league.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Kings are 3rd in the NBA in attempts at 39.3 per game. However, they are just 16th in three-point shooting percentage at 36%. In terms of two-point shooting, Sacramento is 9th in the league at 56%.

Heading into this game, the Kings are 15th in field goal percentage at 47%. In terms of free throws, they are 27th in makes and 21st in attempts. Sacramento is also 12th in offensive rebounds and 7th in assists.

For the season, Sacramento is sitting 17th in terms of points allowed per game (114.8). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in two straight games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Kings defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.9% while allowing 38.6% from downtown.

Betting Trends

• Through their last ten road games, Golden State has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 115 points per game.
• When looking at their past five home matchups, Sacramento has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 106 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Kings have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Golden State has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 8-2 straight up.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

In the 9/10 matchup of the Western Conference play in tournament, the Warriors are 3-point favorites despite playing on the road. However, I actually like the Kings to win this one straight up. Look for De’Aaron Fox and Damontis Sabonis to put together big games as the Kings pick up the win. My pick is to take the Kings on the money line.