Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Predictions 3/10/22

Golden State Warriors (44-22 SU, 32-30-4 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (40-26 SU, 31-35-0 ATS)
When: Thursday March 10 2022, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
TV: TNT

Point Spread: GSW -3/DEN +3 (Opened GSW -2 at Bovada)
Total: 224.5 (Opened at 220.5)
Money Line: Golden State -150/Denver 124
Power Rating: GSW -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors PG Stephen Curry, SG Moses Moody, SF Klay Thompson, PF Andrew Wiggins, C Kevon Looney

Denver Nuggets PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton Q, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green Q, C Nikola Jokic

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors
Gary Payton II: Knee (OUT)
Otto Porter Jr.: Illness (OUT)
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)
Draymond Green: Calf (OUT)
Andre Iguodala: Back (OUT)

Denver Nuggets
Will Barton: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Nah’Shon Hyland: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Jeff Green: Personal (QUESTIONABLE)
Michael Porter Jr.: Back (OUT)
Jamal Murray: Knee (OUT)
Vlatko Cancar: Foot (OUT)

The Denver Nuggets host the Golden State Warriors in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Ball Arena.

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 44-22, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 17-15. Over the Warriors’ last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. During this stretch, Golden State is averaging 116.0 points per game, 5.0 points more than their season average of 111.2. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. A key reason for Golden State’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 121.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 104.9. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down the LA Clippers by a score of 112-97

The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 40-26, placing them 5th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 at home, holding a record of 20-11. The Nuggets have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 120.0 points per game, 9.0 points more than their season average of 111.2. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 112.0 points per contest. Even though the Nuggets have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 115.0 points per game, up from Denver’s usual rate of 108.2. In the Denver Nuggets’ most recent game, Denver took down Sacramento by a score of 106-100.

Individual Player Analysis

As Golden State travels to take on the Denver Nuggets, the Warriors’ leading scorer is Stephen Curry. Through 59 games, Curry is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 46.0% of his games. So far, the Nuggets are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 46.43% of their games, placing them 13rd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring, averaging 26 points across his 59 games. Throughout the season, Jokic has outscored his season average in 41.0% of his outings. On the season, the Warriors have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 46.15% of their games, giving them a rank of 12nd among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Nuggets come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.1 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Denver is winning at a rate of 73%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 32 games as the better defensive team, picking up 17 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Denver picked up a 131-124 win.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs Nuggets

67% are betting the Nuggets against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 222.5

More Picks: Get Joe’s Nets at 76ers Point Spread Best Bet >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

• The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State’s last 5 games on the road
• The total has gone OVER in 9 of Golden State’s last 11 games
• Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
• Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Tonight’s matchup between the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets features two teams trending in opposite directions. After spending a majority of the year bouncing back and forth with the Suns for the top seed in the West, Golden State has fallen to the third seed. On the other side, the Nuggets are looking for their 5th straight win as they are tied with the Mavericks for the 5th seed. With Denver coming into the game as 3 point favorites, I like the Nuggets to cover the spread at home. One of the main issues plaguing the Warriors is their slip in defensive play. A key factor in these struggles is the absence of Draymond Green. Look for Nikola Jokic to have a big game, helping his team grab yet another win and cover the spread. Question: Did you know that you could be betting for cheaper? Almost all sportsbooks charge the bettor -110 odds on sides and totals. Did you know that you could be laying only -105 at BetanySports? It doesn’t sound like much, but if you take a couple minutes to pencil out how much you’d have saved over the past year the numbers are astronomical! Be smart! Make the switch to reduced juice betting today! You’ll be SO glad you did! (Note: You must choose reduced juice over instead of the signup bonus when you sign up there). Click here to start saving big bucks TODAY!