Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Point Spread Pick 10/29/23

Denver Nuggets (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)

When: Sunday, October 29th, 3:30 PM (ET)

Where: Paycom Center, OK, Oklahoma City

TV: BSO

Point Spread: Den -3.5/OKC +3.5

Total: 229

Money Line: Denver Nuggets -156/+130

Notable Injuries

Nuggets

• Vlatko Cancar (Out) Knee
• Jay Huff (Out) Ribs

Thunder

• Kenrich Williams (Out) Back
• Jaylin Williams (Out) Hamstring

Recent Form

Denver is coming off a 108-104 victory against the Grizzlies in their most recent match. This win contributed to the Nuggets’ overall record, which now stands at 2-0.

The Thunder’s previous game came against the Cavaliers, where they defeated them with a score of 108-105, bringing their overall record to 2-0.

The Historicals

Across the last 5 matchups between the teams, Oklahoma City has gone 3-2 vs the spread. However, the Nuggets actually have a positive scoring margin in these games at +5 points per game. In these contests, they averaged a combined 229 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

Leading the Nuggets against the Grizzlies, Jamal Murray emerged as Denver’s top scorer with 22 points, while Nikola Jokic, the second highest scorer, recorded 22 points and 12 rebounds.

Denver’s defense is coming off a game where they forced 17 turnovers, blocked 10 shots, and allowed 104 points against the Grizzlies. Their ability to generate turnovers and protect the rim was notable in this recent performance.

Oklahoma City’s leading scorer was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored 34 points in the game against the Cavaliers. Luguentz Dort also contributed with 25 points. Gilgeous-Alexander had a shooting percentage of 15/26 from the field and 2/2 from three-point range, while Dort had a shooting percentage of 9/13 from the field and 3/4 from three-point range.

Oklahoma City’s defense is coming off a game where they forced 18 turnovers and blocked 10 shots against the Cavaliers, while allowing 105 points. Their defensive performance was notable for their success in creating turnovers and protecting the rim.

Betting Trends

• The Nuggets are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
• Through their last ten home contests, the Thunder offense has averaged 114 points per game while allowing an average of 115. Oklahoma City posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 4-6 ATS.
• Through their last three games as the underdog, the Thunder have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight-up mark of 2-1.
• Denver has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Thunder are coming off a surprise win over the Cavaliers in their last game, while the Nuggets have picked up right where they left off after their championship season. Look for Oklahoma City to prove that their hot start is for real, and put up a good fight against the Nuggets. I like Oklahoma City +3.5.