Denver Nuggets vs. LA Clippers Point Spread Pick for 12/6/23

Denver Nuggets (14-7 SU, 8-12 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (9-10 SU, 7-12 ATS)

When: Wednesday, December 6th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Den +1/LAC -1

Total: 225.5

Money Line: Denver Nuggets -105/-114

Notable Injuries

Nuggets

• Aaron Gordon (Probable) Heel
• Jamal Murray (Questionable) Ankle
• Vlatko Cancar (Out) Knee

Clippers

• Mason Plumlee (Out) Knee
• Brandon Boston Jr. (Out) Quadriceps

Recent Form

The Nuggets are 14-7 overall and are 5-5 in their last ten games. In the Western Conference, they hold the 3rd spot and are also 3rd in the Northwest division.

Currently, the Clippers are 9-10 as they look to take down the Nuggets. In the Western Conference, they are in 9th place, and in the Pacific Division, they are in 4th place.

The Historicals

In terms of betting, Denver has an ATS record of 4-1 in the previous five matchups vs Los Angeles. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +13 points per game in favor of the Nuggets. A combined average of 225 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

In their recent game, the Nuggets’ offense concluded with 117 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 114.5 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Nikola Jokic, who is averaging 28.9 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Michael Porter Jr. also maintains a PPG average of 17.4 heading into game.

Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 7th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.4 points per game.

When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Nuggets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.6% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.1% from downtown.

The Clippers’ offense finished with 113 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 112.9 points per contest. Paul George is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 23.5 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Kawhi Leonard brings a PPG average of 21.8 into the game.

This season, the Clippers’ defense has been impressive, holding the 5th position in the league while permitting an average of 109.7 points per contest.

In terms of two-point field goal attempts, the Clippers’ defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 52.4% while allowing 34.5% from downtown.

Betting Trends

• Through their last five road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 110 points per game.
• In their last ten games at home, the Clippers have a straight-up record of 3-7 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 114 points per game in these contests.
• As the betting underdog, the Nuggets have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Denver posted a straight-up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
• Against the spread, the Clippers have a 2-3 mark in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-2 straight up.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The last two times the Clippers and Nuggets faced off ended in a 113-104 win for the Nuggets. I’m jumping all over the chance to take the Nuggets as 1-point underdogs. I like Denver against the spread in this one.