Denver Nuggets vs. Brooklyn Nets Pick & Analysis

Denver Nuggets (47-24 SU, 37-33-1 ATS) vs. Brooklyn Nets (39-31 SU, 37-32-1 ATS)

When: Sunday, March 19th, 3:30 PM (ET)

Where: Barclays Center, NY, Brooklyn

TV: YES

Point Spread: Den -1.5/Bkn +1.5 (Stop wasting money! Start laying -105 odds instead of -110 at BetAnySports Sportsbook! You’ll be so glad you made the switch!

Total: 231

Money Line: Denver Nuggets -128/+106

Notable Injuries

Nuggets

• Collin Gillespie (Out) Lower Leg

Nets

• Ben Simmons (Out) Back/Knee

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Denver is 47-24 overall. When taking to the road, Denver has a mark of 17-18 and a win percentage of 49%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Western Conference. So far, they are 37-33-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 1-4 in their past five games and 1-4 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS.

Most recently, Denver lost to the Knicks by a score of 116-110. Jamal Murray and his 25 points were not enough for the team to pull out a win as 1-point underdogs. The Nuggets also finished with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Brooklyn is 39-31 overall. When playing at home, Brooklyn has a mark of 19-13 and a win percentage of 59%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 37-32-1 vs. the spread. The Nets need a win in today’s matchup vs. Denver to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Kings defeated Brooklyn with a score of 101-96. Mikal Bridges scored the most points for the team with 23, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Nets were 3 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Nets picked up the win 122-120 win over the Nuggets. Heading into the game, Brooklyn was the 9.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Spanning across the last five head-to-head matchups, the Nuggets, and Nets have been competitive, with an average margin of victory sitting at just 2 points per game. This has resulted in a 3-2 ATS record for Brooklyn. Denver and Brooklyn averaged a combined 238 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 5-0.

Analysis

For the season, Denver has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 116.8 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 98.1 possessions per contest. Denver has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 2nd in 3-point shooting percentage at 38.6%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.2 attempts per contest. On defense, the Nuggets are allowing an average of 110.41 points per game, placing them 14th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.42% of their looks from deep.

Coming into today’s game, Nikola Jokic is the leading scorer for Denver at 24.8 points per game. This season, Jokic has a field goal percentage of 63.3%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jamal Murray at 20.0 points per contest.

This year, the Brooklyn offense is not only near the NBA average in points at 113.5 points per game, but they are also playing at a pace similar to the league average. So far, the Nets are ranked 19th in possessions per contest. Brooklyn’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.3% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.5 3-point shots per game, placing them 13th in the NBA. On defense, the Nets allow an average of 112.12 points per game, placing them 18th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.46% of their looks from deep.

Going into today’s game, Mikal Bridges is the leading scorer for the Brooklyn team, with an average of 19.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 47.3%. The team’s second top scorer is Spencer Dinwiddie, who is averaging 17.8 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
• The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
• The Nets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.
• The Nets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Nuggets have a tough challenge ahead with a brutal schedule playing back-to-back NBA games on the road, both of which are early. Adding to their difficulties, their opponent, the Nets, are currently in good form. My bet is on the Nets. Make the Nuggets a +18.5 underdog or the Nets a +21.5 underdog by inserting either into a massive 20 point NBA teaser only found at Wagerweb!