Dallas Mavericks vs. Philadelphia 76ers Pick ATS

Dallas Mavericks (26-23 SU, 24-25 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (30-18 SU, 30-18 ATS)

When: Monday, February 5th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Wells Fargo Center, PA, Philadelphia

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Dal -1.5/Phi +1.5

Total: 242.5

Money Line: Dallas Mavericks -120/-101

Notable Injuries

Mavericks

• Kyrie Irving (Probable) Thumb
• Dante Exum (Out) Knee
• Maxi Kleber (Questionable) Toe
• Luka Doncic (Questionable) Ankle
• Dereck Lively II (Out) Nose

76ers

• Nicolas Batum (Out) Hamstring
• Tobias Harris (Questionable) Illness
• Joel Embiid (Out) Knee
• Robert Covington (Out) Knee
• De’Anthony Melton (Out) Back
• Kenneth Lofton Jr. (Out) Personal

At 7:00 ET, the Philadelphia 76ers (-101) will host the Dallas Mavericks (-120) in a non-conference matchup. The Mavericks are favored by 1.5 points and have a record of 26-23, while the 76ers are 30-18.

Philadelphia is currently 5th in the Eastern Conference, while Dallas is 8th in the Western Conference. The over/under line for this game is 242.5 points.

Recent Form

Dallas is 26-23 this season after losing their last two games. In the Western Conference, they are currently 8th and 2nd in the Southwest Division.

On the road, the Mavericks are 12-10 straight-up and 13-9 against the spread. Their ATS record on the road is better than their home record (11-16).

As the favorite, Dallas is 18-8 straight-up and 15-11 vs. the spread. They have been favored in 26 of their 49 games. The Mavs are favored by 1.5 points today.

In their last game, the Mavericks lost to the Bucks by a score of 129-117. The O/U line for that game was 248 points, and Dallas was getting 4 points going into the game.

On the season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 26-23. In their last two games, the games have finished below the O/U line. On average, their games have seen 237.1 points compared to today’s line of 242.5.

In Philadelphia’s games this season, the average combined scoring total is 232.4 points, which is 10.1 points lower than today’s O/U line of 242.5. The team has gone 29-19 on the over/under for the season, including hitting the over in their last two games.

The 76ers are 3-9 as underdogs this season and are currently 1.5-point underdogs against the Mavericks. As the underdog, they have gone 6-6 against the spread, with an average scoring differential of -4 points per game.

Philadelphia’s last game was a 136-121 loss to the Nets. The O/U line for that game was 231.5 points, and the 76ers were favored by 2 points. This dropped their ATS record at home to 16-8 for the season.

Overall, the 76ers are 30-18 this season, which is good for 5th place in the Eastern Conference. Against other teams in the East, they have gone 19-12 and are 5-4 against division opponents.

The Historicals

In terms of betting, Philadelphia has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Dallas. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +4 points per game in favor of the 76ers. In these contests, they averaged a combined 220 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

So far this season, the Mavericks have been one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 118.2 points per game (9th). When playing on the road, Dallas is averaging 116.2 points per game (12th).

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are one of the most prolific teams in the league. They are 2nd in three-point attempts (40.5) and have made an average of 15 threes per game (12th). In terms of overall field goal percentage, Dallas is shooting 47% (16th).

When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA average in 55.1% of their games. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the league with an average of 99.7 possessions per game.

On defense, the Mavericks are ranked 21st in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 69.4% of their games. The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.1% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 49.0% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.

At home, the 76ers average 121.0 points per game (8th). Overall, they are 6th in the NBA in scoring at 119.1 points per game. Philadelphia has outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.3% of their games. So far, they have made the most free throws per game in the league.

When it comes to pace, the 76ers are 16th in the NBA at 98.6 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 14th in the league at 47%. Philadelphia is 12th in true shooting percentage.

So far this season, the 76ers have made 53% of their two-point attempts (22nd). When it comes to three-point shooting, they are 17th in the NBA at 36%. Overall, Philadelphia is 27th in three-pointers made per game.

For the season, Philadelphia is sitting 14th in terms of points allowed per game (113.3). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in two straight games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the 76ers are forcing 11.2 per game, which is 1st in the league. They also come into the game sitting 5th in blocked shots at 6 per game.

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
• Across the 76ers last three home games, the team averaged 112 points per game while allowing 124. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the 76ers have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
• The last three games that Dallas was favored, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 1-2 straight up.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Mavericks are looking to bounce back from a tough loss to Milwaukee, where they held a huge lead early in the game while the Sixers are looking figure things out without Joel Embiid. Dallas will be looking forward to having Kyrie Irving available, but Luke Doncic is questionable. I’m taking Dallas as -1.5 point favorites.