Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Pick April 2

Dallas Mavericks (45-29 SU, 43-31 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (40-34 SU, 40-33 ATS)

When: Tuesday, April 2nd, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Dal +1/GS -1

Total: 233.5

Money Line: Dallas Mavericks -105/-115

Notable Injuries

Mavericks

• Josh Green (Out) Ankle
• Greg Brown III (Out) Personal
• Dereck Lively II (Questionable) Leg

Warriors

• Klay Thompson (Probable) Knee
• Dario Saric (Out) Knee
• Jonathan Kuminga (Questionable) Knee

At 10:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-115) will host the Dallas Mavericks (-105) in a Western Conference matchup. The Warriors are favored by 1 point at home and are currently on a 4-game win streak.

This game will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco and can be seen on TNT. The over/under line for this game is currently sitting at 233.5 points.

Recent Form

Dallas has an overall record of 45-29, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 16-10 compared to 29-19 against Western Conference opponents.

On the road, the Mavericks are 23-14 this season and have won their last five games away from home. Against the spread, they are 25-12 on the road and have covered in four straight games.

As the underdog, the Mavericks are 11-18 this season and have covered the spread in three straight games as the underdog. Today, they are getting 1 point on the spread.

Dallas’ O/U record for the season is 35-39, and their games have averaged 235 points per game. This is higher than today’s line of 233.5.

In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Rockets by a score of 125-107. The O/U line for that game was 230 points, and Dallas covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.

The Warriors are currently favored by 1 point at home against the Mavericks. This season, Golden State has gone 32-16 as the favorite and has won their last three games as the favorite. As the favorite, they have an average scoring margin of +5.3 points per game.

Golden State’s ATS record for the season is 40-33, with a 15-21 record at home and a 25-12 record on the road. As the favorite, they are 24-24 ATS and 16-9 ATS as the underdog.

In terms of their O/U record for the season, the Warriors are 36-37-1. Today’s line of 233.5 is just slightly higher than their season average of 231.5. In 41 of their games, the O/U line has been lower than today’s line.

In their last game, the Warriors defeated the Spurs by a score of 117-113. The O/U line for that game was 227.5, and Golden State was favored by 10.5 points. The win improved their record to 40-34, which is currently 10th in the Western Conference.

The Historicals

Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Mavericks have averaged 119 points per game compared to 116 for Golden State. This has led to an ATS record of 5-0 for Dallas. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-1. Combined, they averaged 235 points in these games.

Analysis

When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks are one of the league’s best teams. They are 6th in the NBA in points per game at 118.7. On the road, they are averaging 118.1 points per game, which is 3rd in the league.

Dallas has been an excellent three-point shooting team all season. They are 2nd in the NBA in three-point attempts (39.4 per game) and have made an average of 14.7 threes per game. Overall, they are 11th in field goal percentage.

So far, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.8% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.

The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 20th in the league, allowing an average of 116.3 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Mavericks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.9% and 36.6% from three-point territory.

At home this season, the Warriors are averaging 117.9 points per game, which is 11th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in scoring at 118 points per game. In terms of pace, Golden State is 10th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are one of the best in the NBA. They are 3rd in three-pointers made per game at 14.7 and are 9th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. In terms of free throws, Golden State is 24th in made free throws per game and 26th in free throw attempts.

So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.1% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 15th in the league at 47%. When it comes to two-point shooting, Golden State is 14th in the NBA at 54%.

At this time, the Warriors’ defense is positioned 17th in the NBA, permitting 115.9 points per game. So far this season, the Warriors’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 9th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 22.8 times per game vs. Golden State.

Betting Trends

• Across their last three road contests, Dallas has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 121 points per game.
• Golden State has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 111 points per game while allowing 101. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
• Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Dallas has an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 2-3 straight up.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Warriors have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Tonight’s final game of the slate between the Mavs and Warriors should be a fun one as it features two of the hottest team’s in the league right now. Dallas just knocked off a red-hot Rockets squad and now has their own 7-game win streak, and the Warriors have rattled off four straight. Each game will be big for both teams, as Dallas will be looking to catch the Clippers in the standings, as this would mean that they would have home-court advantage in a playoff series, as they are battling for the 4th and 5th seeds. But for tonight’s game, I’m taking the Warriors to pick up the win, in what should be a game that goes right down to the wire. My pick is Golden State at -115.