Celtics vs. Magic Point Spread Pick 10/22/22

Boston Celtics (2-0 SU, 2-0-0 ATS) vs. Orlando Magic (0-2 SU, 0-2-0 ATS)
When: Saturday, October 22nd, 7:00 PM (ET)
Where: Amway Center, FL, Orlando
TV: BSFL

Point Spread: BOS -7.0/ ORL +7
Total: 218.5
Money Line: Boston Celtics -292/ +232

Notable Injuries

Celtics

• Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
• Robert Williams III (Out) Knee

Magic

• Gary Harris (Out) Knee
• Markelle Fultz (Out) Toe
• Jonathan Isaac (Out) Hamstring
• Moritz Wagner (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

The Celtics come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 2-0. So far, the team has gone
2-0-0 against the spread. In their previous game, the Celtics took down the Heat by a score of
111-104. Not only did they come away with a straight-up win, but they also covered the spread as
2-point favorites. In the game, Boston was able to hold on to their first-half lead, as they led
the Heat by 8 going into the second half. In the win, Jayson Tatum led the team in scoring with
29 points on a field goal percentage of 45.5%.

So far, the Magic have put together an overall record of 0-2, while going 0-2-0 vs the spread.
Not only did the Magic drop their last game to the Hawks. But they also picked up an ATS loss, as
they fell by a score of 108-98 as 9-point underdogs. Orlando let an opportunity for a win slip
home as they held a lead going into the 2nd half of action. Leading the team in scoring was Cole
Anthony, as he contributed 25 points while hitting 66.7% of his shots.

The Historicals

Not only did the Celtics finish with an above .500 record on the road in last year’s
head-to-head matchup vs Orlando, but they also won over half of their games as the road team.
Similar to their season-long average, the Celtics averaged 108.0 points per game vs the Magic.
While Boston was able to maintain their usual level of production against Orlando, the Magic
averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 91.0. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the
Celtics have averaged 113 points per game compared to 93 for Orlando. This has led to an ATS
record of 4-1 for Boston. A combined average of 206 points per game was achieved in these
matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

The Boston offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 10th ranked offense
at 118.5 points per game. So far, the Celtics are averaging 23rd possessions per game, which
places them below the NBA average. So far, the team’s deliberate style of play has not slowed
down the offense, as they have been particularly effective inside the arc, ranking 11th in made
2-point field goals per game.

One thing to watch will be if Jayson Tatum will be able to take advantage of his matchup vs
the Magic. Last year, they were ranked just 13th in points allowed to small-forwards.

Through 2 games, the Magic are averaging 103.5 points per contest, placing them 22nd in the
NBA. So far, the Magic are averaging 16th possessions per game, which places them below the NBA
average. Not only is the team one of the more deliberate units in the NBA, but they also have yet
to find their shooting stroke, ranking just 20th in the league in field goal percentage at
45.2%.

One thing to watch will be if Paolo Banchero will be able to take advantage of his matchup vs
the Celtics. Last year, they were ranked just 13th in points allowed to power-forwards.

Betting Trends

Celtics are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 Saturday games. Celtics are
35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 road games. Magic are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with
a winning straight up record. Magic are 16-33-1 ATS in their last 50 home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Celtics will likely win this game, but the wagering value is with the Magic plus the
points. Nice value from a team that is better than most think!