Celtics vs. Hawks Point Spread Pick 4/27/23

Boston Celtics (57-25 SU, 47-38-2 ATS) vs. Atlanta Hawks (41-41 SU, 39-48-1 ATS)
When: Thursday, April 27th, 8:30 PM (ET)
Where: State Farm Arena, GA, Atlanta
TV: TNT

Point Spread: Bos -6.5/Atl +6.5
Total: 232
Money Line: Boston Celtics -260/+212

Notable Injuries

Celtics

• Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee

Hawks

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Boston is 57-25 overall. When taking to the road, Boston has a mark of 25-16 and a win percentage of 61%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 47-38-2 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past 5 games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS.

Boston most recently lost to the Hawks by a score of 119-117. The team high 35 points from Jaylen Brown were not enough to come away with the win. The Celtics were 13-point favorites going into the game.

Heading into the game, Atlanta is 41-41 overall. When playing at home, Atlanta has a mark of 24-17 and a win percent of 59%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 39-48-1 vs the spread. In Atlanta’s last 5 games, the Hawks have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 5-5 ATS.

Atlanta will be looking to build on their most recent win over the Celtics. Trae Young led the team to a win with his 38 points. The Hawks were 13-point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS win.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Hawks picked up the win 119-117 win over the Celtics. Heading into the game, Atlanta was the 13.5 point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Celtics have a record of 6-2 vs the Hawks. The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 3-2 in favor of the Celtics. In these matchups, Boston has averaged 119 points per game while allowing 115. Boston and Atlanta averaged a combined 234 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 117.9 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.3 possessions per contest. The Celtics have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 4th in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 42.6 attempts per game. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Jayson Tatum is the top scorer for Boston, averaging 30.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 46.6%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jaylen Brown, with an average of 26.6 points per game.

This season, Atlanta is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.4 points per game. So far, the Hawks are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.0 possessions per game. The Hawks have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 30th in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 30.5 attempts per game. Defense has been a struggle for Atlanta, as they are currently allowing 112.38 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.43% of their looks from the outside.

Going into today’s game, Trae Young is the leading scorer for the Atlanta team, with an average of 26.2 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 42.9%. The team’s second top scorer is Dejounte Murray, who is averaging 20.5 points per game.

Betting Trends

• Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
• Hawks are 17-38 ATS in their last 55 games following a ATS win.
• Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Hawks went from getting stomped over the first two games to making adjustments and winning two of the last three in the series, including a win at the Boston Garden! I’m betting Atlanta at +6.5 and expecting this line to drop close to tip.