Celtics vs. Bucks Game 6 Odds & Pick

by Joe Jensen | Last updated May 13, 2022 | nba

Boston Celtics (57-34 SU, 49-39-3 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (58-34 SU, 44-48-0 ATS)

When: Friday May 13 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: BOS +1.5/MIL -1.5 (Opened MIL -1.5 at Everygame – Get a 200% bonus on your $25 deposit! Simply register for a betting account through our special link, deposit $25, then go to their special promotions page and enter bonus code ROOKIE200 and they’ll add FIFTY BUCKS to your account balance!)

Total: 211 (Opened at 211.5)

Money Line: Boston Celtics 103/Milwaukee Bucks -123

Power Rating: MIL -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics PG Marcus Smart, SG Jaylen Brown, SF Jayson Tatum, PF Al Horford, C Robert Williams

Milwaukee Bucks PG Jrue Holiday, SG Grayson Allen, SF Wesley Matthews, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo, C Brook Lopez

Key Injuries

Boston Celtics
Sam Hauser: Shoulder (OUT)
Robert Williams III: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)

Milwaukee Bucks
Khris Middleton: Knee (OUT)

The Milwaukee Bucks host the Boston Celtics in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the Fiserv Forum.

Recent Form

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 26-19. Over the Celtics’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Boston’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 104.0 points per game. Combined, the Celtics’ last five opponents are giving up 111.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Celtics are allowing an average of 102.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 104.5. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, the team fell to Milwaukee by a score of 110-107.

The Milwaukee Bucks come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Milwaukee is above .500 at home, holding a record of 30-16. The Bucks have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Milwaukee’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 102.0 points per game. Combined, the Bucks’ last five opponents are giving up 104.0 points per contest. The Bucks come into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 104.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 110.8. In the Milwaukee Bucks’ most recent game, Milwaukee took down Boston by a score of 110-107.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Boston travels to take on the Milwaukee Bucks, the Celtics’ leading scorer is Jayson Tatum. Through 76 games, Tatum is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 47.0% of his games. As Tatum gets set to take on the Bucks, he could be in line for a big game as Milwaukee is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.67% of their games. This figure places them 24th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the Bucks in scoring, averaging 29 points across his 68 games. Throughout the season, Antetokounmpo has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Antetokounmpo will need to do so against a Celtics defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 46.77%. This figure is good for a rank of 9th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Bucks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 111 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Milwaukee is winning at a rate of 68%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Celtics hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 41 games as the better defensive team, picking up 23 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks have met up for 9 games. In their last meeting, Milwaukee picked up a 110-107 win.

How the Public is Betting the Celtics vs Bucks

67% are betting the Bucks against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 211

More Picks: Get Joe’s MEM/GS Game 6 Predicted Point Spread Winner >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

Celtics are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog.
Celtics are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Bucks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Bucks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

After the first two games of this series featured significant wins for either team, things have tightened up in this matchup between Milwaukee and Boston. In game 5, it appeared that Boston was set to go up 3-2, but the Bucks finished the 4th quarter going 6 for 6 from downtown, helping to steal a victory on the road. Once again, Giannis Antetokounmpo relentlessly attacked the basket. With the spread sitting at -1.5 in favor of Milwaukee, look for the Bucks to finish the job and advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. Want more bonus dollars to bet with? Deposit $100 to $500 and they’ll give you a 100% REAL CASH bonus when you sign up at Betnow Sportsbook through our link and use bonus code PREDICTEM.