Celtics vs. 76ers Game 4 Betting Prediction & Analysis

Boston Celtics (57-25 SU, 50-39-2 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (54-28 SU, 52-36-1 ATS)

When: Sunday, May 7th, 3:30 PM (ET)

Where: Wells Fargo Center, PA, Philadelphia

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: Bos -2.5/Phi +2.5 (STOP betting games at -110; start lay only -105 TODAY at BAS!)

Total: 214.5

Money Line: Boston Celtics -142/+119

Notable Injuries

Celtics

• Marcus Smart (Questionable) Ankle
• Blake Griffin (Questionable) Back
• Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee

76ers

• Joel Embiid (Questionable) Knee

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Boston is 57-25 overall. When taking to the road, Boston has a mark of 25-16 and a win percentage of 61%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 50-39-2 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Philadelphia, the Boston Celtics have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

The Celtics came away with a win in their last matchup against the 76ers, achieving a 114-102 victory as 2-point favorites. Jayson Tatum led the Celtics with an impressive performance, scoring 27 points on a shooting percentage of 50.0%. In addition to the win, the Celtics also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Philadelphia is 54-28 overall. When playing at home, Philadelphia has a mark of 29-12 and a win percentage of 71%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 52-36-1 vs. the spread. The 76ers need a win in today’s matchup vs. Boston to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

Most recently, Philadelphia lost to the Celtics by a score of 114-102. Joel Embiid and his 30 points were not enough for the team to pull out a win as 2-point underdogs. The 76ers also finished with an ATS loss in the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Celtics picked up the 114-102 win over the 76ers. The Celtics’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as a 2.0-point favorite. So far this season, the Celtics have a record of 5-2 vs the 76ers. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Celtics have an average scoring margin of +9 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. In these contests, they averaged a combined 215 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 117.9 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.3 possessions per contest. The Celtics have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 1st in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 42.6 attempts per game. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Jayson Tatum is the top scorer for the Celtics, with an average of 30.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 46.6%. Jaylen Brown is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 26.6 points per game.

This season, the 76ers offense is averaging 115.2 points per game, which is 20th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Philadelphia has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 97.1 possessions per game. Philadelphia has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 2nd in 3-point shooting percentage at 38.7%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 32.6 attempts per contest. Defensively, the 76ers have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.33 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.56%.

Heading into the game, Joel Embiid is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 33.1. Currently, Tyrese Maxey is 2nd on the team in scoring at 20.3 points per game.

Betting Trends

• Celtics are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
• 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

After dropping Game 1 at home, the Boston Celtics have come back with a vengeance, winning handily in each of the last two games. While it may be human nature to envision the Sixers tying the series up on their home court, it’s not likely. The Celtics have this team figured out and are likely to win again Sunday night. I’m laying the points with the Celtics. Note: It’s a GREAT day to take 2 minutes to learn about the benefits of betting at reduced juice! It’s FREE and saves you tons of money!