Bulls vs. Pistons Betting Analysis & Pick 3/1/23

Chicago Bulls (28-34 SU, 31-31-0 ATS) vs. Detroit Pistons (15-47 SU, 28-33-1 ATS)

When: Wednesday, March 1st, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Little Caesars Arena, MI, Detroit

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Chi -6/Det +6 (Stop wasting your hard earned money! Start betting on games at -105 instead of -110 at BetAnySports! You’ll be so glad you made the switch!

Total: nan

Money Line: Chicago Bulls -243/+197

Notable Injuries

Bulls

• Lonzo Ball (Out) Knee
• Javonte Green (Out) Knee

Pistons

• Bojan Bogdanovic (Probable) Achilles
• Isaiah Stewart (Out) Hip
• Cade Cunningham (Out) Shin
• Isaiah Livers (Doubtful) Ankle
• Jalen Duren (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Chicago is 28-34 overall. When taking to the road, Chicago has a mark of 10-21 and a win percentage of 32%. Currently, the team is 11th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 31-31-0 vs the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs the spread, they are 2-3 in their past 5 games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 3-7 SU and 3-7 ATS.

In their most recent game, Chicago was unable to come away with a victory against the Raptors, losing by a score of 104-98. Despite Nikola Vucevic leading the team with 23 points, the Bulls were unable to overcome their status as 4-point underdogs. The Bulls also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

Heading into the game, Detroit is 15-47 overall. When playing at home, Detroit has a mark of 8-22 and a win percentage of 27%. Currently, the team is 15th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 28-33-1 vs the spread. The Pistons need a win in today’s matchup vs Chicago to avoid their 6th straight loss.

In their last game, Detroit was defeated by Hornets with a score of 117-106. Despite Hamidou Diallo scoring 23 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Pistons were 7-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Bulls picked up the 132-118 win over the Pistons. The Bulls’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 7.5-point favorite. So far this season, the Bulls have a record of 2-0 vs the Pistons. Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Bulls have an average scoring margin of +20 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 4-1. Chicago and Detroit averaged a combined 220 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

This year, the Chicago offense is not only near the NBA average in points at 113.0 points per game, but they are also playing at a pace similar to the league average. So far, the Bulls are ranked 15th in possessions per contest. Chicago comes into the game ranked just 30th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.9% of their shots from deep, which places them 30th in the NBA. On defense, the Bulls are allowing an average of 112.0 points per game, placing them 17th in the league. So far, teams have shot 36.4% on their looks from outside vs Chicago. This figure places them 23rd in 3-point shooting defense.

Going into today’s game, DeMar DeRozan is the leading scorer for the Chicago team, with an average of 25.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 50.9%. The team’s second top scorer is Zach LaVine, who is averaging 24.1 points per game.

For the season, Detroit is averaging just 111.7 points per game, which is 27th in the league. This below-average production has come despite being one of the faster-paced teams in the NBA (12th). Detroit’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 35.2% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.0 3-point shots per game, placing them 15th in the NBA. Defense has been a struggle for Detroit, as they are currently allowing 112.55 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.41% of their looks from the outside.

As the Pistons prepare for today’s game, Bojan Bogdanovic is their leading scorer, with an average of 21.4 points per game. This season, Bogdanovic has a field goal percentage of 48.7%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jaden Ivey, who is averaging 15.3 points per game.

Betting Trends

Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Pistons are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.
Pistons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

As noted in our headline, the Pistons are catching the Bulls in a really tough spot where they got beat in Toronto last night, had to go through customs and then travel. Detroit sucks and is surely trying to lose games, but they don’t really get blown out at home very often and tonight’s line is surely inflated due to nobody wanting to bet on a bad team. I’m betting the Pistons plus the points. Bet your NBA predictions for FREE all week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus!