Bucks vs. Wizards Odds, Analysis, Free Pick

Milwaukee Bucks (56-22 SU, 41-31-6 ATS) vs. Washington Wizards (34-44 SU, 35-41-2 ATS)
When: Tuesday, April 4th, 7:00 PM (ET)
Where: Capital One Arena, DC, Washington
TV: NBC

Point Spread: Mil -13/Wash +13
Total: 230
Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks -875/+578

Notable Injuries

Bucks

• Khris Middleton (Out) Injury Management
• Meyers Leonard (Probable) Calf
• Grayson Allen (Out) Ankle
• Jevon Carter (Probable) Knee

Wizards

• Bradley Beal (Out) Knee
• Kristaps Porzingis (Out) Conditioning
• Kyle Kuzma (Out) Ankle
• Monte Morris (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Milwaukee is 56-22 overall. When taking to the road, Milwaukee has a mark of 25-14 and a win percent of 64%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 41-31-6 vs the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs the spread, they are 3-2 in their past 5 games and 1-3-1 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 7-3 SU and 4-4-2 ATS.

The Bucks came away with a win in their last matchup against the 76ers, achieving a 117-104 victory as 5-point favorites. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with an impressive performance, scoring 33 points on a shooting percentage of 76.5%. In addition to the win, the Bucks also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Washington is 34-44 overall. When playing at home, Washington has a mark of 18-20 and a win percentage of 47%. Currently, the team is 11th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 35-41-2 vs the spread. The Wizards need a win in today’s matchup vs Milwaukee to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Knicks defeated Washington with a score of 118-109. Corey Kispert scored the most points for the team with 29, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Wizards were 11 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Wizards picked up the win 118-95 win over the Bucks. Heading into the game, Washington was the 2.5-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Bucks have a record of 2-1 vs the Wizards. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Bucks have averaged 112 points per game compared to 108 for Washington. This has led to an ATS record of 3-1-1 for Milwaukee. In these contests, they averaged a combined 220 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 1-3-1.

Analysis

This season, Milwaukee is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.0 points per game. So far, the Bucks are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.8 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Milwaukee’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 4th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.4% of their looks from outside. On defense, the Bucks are allowing an average of 112.13 points per game, placing them 19th in the league. So far, opposing teams are hitting 35.73% of their looks from deep vs Milwaukee.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is the top scorer for Milwaukee, averaging 31.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 55.3%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jrue Holiday, with an average of 19.1 points per game.

Coming into the game, Washington’s offense is ranked just 23rd in scoring at 113.0 points per game. This has come while being the 19th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Wizards are averaging 98.0 possessions per contest. Washington comes into the game ranked just 23rd in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.9% of their shots from deep, which places them 21st in the NBA. On defense, the Wizards are allowing an average of 112.0 points per game, placing them 16th in the league. So far, teams have shot 35.92% on their looks from outside vs Washington. This figure places them 21st in 3-point shooting defense.

Be sure to take note of the fact that both Kristaps Porzingis and Kyle Kuzma are out for today’s game for the Wizards. This year, Porzingis is averaging 23.2 points per game, while Kuzma is at 21.2.

Betting Trends

• Bucks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record.
• Bucks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games.
• Wizards are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Wizards are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Wiz will be missing all their stars plus Morris Tuesday night. It would benefit them to lose and the Bucks still have something to play for so I’m laying the -13 and expecting a 20+ point win!