Bucks vs. Sixers Picks & Predictions

by | Last updated Nov 18, 2022 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (11-3 SU, 10-4-0 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (7-7 SU, 7-7-0 ATS)

When: Friday, November 18th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Wells Fargo Center, PA, Philadelphia

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: MIL +2/ PHI -2 (Did you know that you can bet on games at -105 odds? Imagine how much money you’d have saved over the years had you bet for a cheaper price!)

Total: 218.5

Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks +107/ -130

Notable Injuries

Bucks

  • Jrue Holiday (Questionable) Ankle
  • Khris Middleton (Out) Wrist
  • Wesley Matthews (Out) Hamstring
  • Joe Ingles (Out) ACL
  • Pat Connaughton (Out) Calf
  • Grayson Allen (Probable) Ankle

76ers

  • James Harden (Out) Foot
  • Furkan Korkmaz (Out) Knee
  • Jaden Springer (Out) Quadriceps

Recent Form

The Bucks come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 11-3. So far, the team has gone 10-4-0 against the spread. In the team’s past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 1-2. Milwaukee is 1-2 vs the spread in these matchups.

The Bucks will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Cavaliers by a score of 113-98. Heading into the game, they were 2 point favorites on the spread, giving them an ATS win. Although Milwaukee held just a 1 point lead at half, they put together a strong second half on their way to a 15-point victory. Leading the team in scoring was Brook Lopez, as he contributed 29 points while hitting 76.9% of his shots.

The 76ers come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 7-7. So far, the team has gone 7-7-0 against the spread. The 76ers entered today’s game, having picked up 2 straight wins. This has come on an average scoring differential of 9.5 points per game.

The 76ers will look to keep things rolling, as they previously beat the Jazz by a score of 105-98. Heading into the game, they were 4 point favorites on the spread, giving them an ATS win. Even though Philadelphia trailed by 6 heading into the 2nd half, they put together a strong enough 3rd quarter to even the score. Leading the team in scoring was Joel Embiid, as he contributed 59 points while hitting 67.9% of his shots.

The Historicals

In last year’s regular season, the two teams played games against each other, with the Bucks walking away a series win at 2-1. Milwaukee finished with an above .500 record on the road in their head-to-head matchups. Similar to their season-long average, the Bucks averaged 118.67 points per game vs the 76ers. On the other side, Philadelphia saw an improvement in their scoring numbers when playing the Bucks, as they averaged 116.0 points per game in these matchups. In terms of betting, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 4-1 in the previous 5 matchups vs Philadelphia. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +9 points per game in favor of the Bucks. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 221 points in these games.

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Analysis

Through 14 games, the Bucks are averaging 111.6 points per contest, placing them 17th in the NBA. The Bucks come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting teams, connecting at a rate of 13.2 made 3’s per game. If the Milwaukee offense is going to improve, they would benefit from attacking the basket and generating looks at the line. So far, they are ranked just 18th in made free-throws per game.

On defense, the Bucks will look for some improved play, as they are currently the 19th ranked unit in points allowed per game.

On offense, Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the Bucks in scoring at 29.91 points per game, placing him 8th in the NBA. Overall, Antetokounmpo has hit 51.1% of his shots while accounting for 22.9% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 23rd in points allowed to power-fowards. At 16.43 points per game, Brook Lopez is the 2nd leading scorer for the Bucks. For the season, he is 90th in the league in player efficiency rating.

Through 14 games, the 76ers are averaging 108.5 points per contest, placing them 28th in the NBA. So far, the 76ers are averaging 96.3 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. Right now, the 76ers offense is in search of answers, as not only do they tend to play at a slow pace, but they are just 13th in effective field goal percentage.

On the defensive end of the floor, the 76ers are giving up an average of 107.33 points per game, good for 8th in the NBA.

On offense, Joel Embiid leads the Sixers in scoring at 32.3 points per game, placing him 3rd in the NBA. Overall, Embiid has hit 53.7% of his shots while accounting for 24.3% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 4th in points allowed to centers. At 22.79 points per game, Tyrese Maxey is the 2nd leading scorer for the team. For the season, he is 144th in the league in player efficiency rating.

Betting Trends

  • Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Bucks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
  • 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
  • 76ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

An 11-3 team getting +2 against a 7-7 team? That tells us all we need to know. Meanwhile, NBA bettors are betting the heck out of the Bucks. Don’t get caught up in this fat Friday sucker bet! I’m betting on the Sixers! Be sure to check out our Celtics vs. Pelicans point spread prediction!