Bucks vs. Grizzlies Predictions, Picks, and Betting Preview

Milwaukee Bucks (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS)

When: Thursday, October 31st, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: FedExForum, TN, Memphis

TV: NBA

Point Spread: Mil -6/Mem +6

Total: 226.5

Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks -233/+193

Notable Injuries

Bucks

• Giannis Antetokounmpo (Probable) Patella
• Khris Middleton (Out) Ankle

Grizzlies

• Marcus Smart (Questionable) Ankle
• Luke Kennard (Out) Foot
• Desmond Bane (Questionable) Oblique
• Vince Williams Jr. (Out) Tibia
• GG Jackson II (Out) Foot
• Cam Spencer (Out) Ankle

At 8:00 ET, the Memphis Grizzlies (2-3) will host the Milwaukee Bucks (1-3) in a non-conference matchup. The Bucks are favored by six points and have a moneyline of -233, while the Grizzlies are +193 on the moneyline. The over/under line for the game is 226.5.

This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and can be seen on NBA TV.

Recent Form

Milwaukee’s early-season struggles continued with a 119-108 loss to the Celtics on Monday, dropping their record to 1-3. The Bucks, who were +9 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total score of 227 points fell just short of the 232-point O/U line.

Milwaukee led 56-53 at halftime but were outscored 37-26 in the 3rd quarter. A 10-0 run by Boston extended their lead from 90-82 to 100-82, putting the game out of reach for the Bucks.

Memphis fell to 2-3 on the season after a 119-106 home loss to the Nets on Wednesday. The Grizzlies, who were favored by 11.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 225, just under the 225.5-point line.

Memphis trailed 34-29 after the 1st quarter but kept pace by tying the 2nd quarter 33-33 and outscoring the Nets 28-24 in the 3rd. However, the Grizzlies struggled in the 4th, scoring just 16 points while allowing 28.

The Historicals

Over the last five head-to-head meetings, the Grizzlies have averaged 126 points per game compared to 105 for Milwaukee. This has led to an ATS record of 5-0 for Memphis. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 231 points per game.

Analysis

In their 119-108 loss to the Celtics, the Bucks struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just eight threes at a 25.8% clip. Overall, they shot 45.1% from the field.

Damian Lillard led the way with 33 points, seven assists, and seven rebounds, while Giannis Antetokounmpo added 30 points and ten boards. Lillard scored 10 points in the 1st quarter and 9 in the 4th, while Giannis had 11 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters.

The Grizzlies struggled defensively against the Nets, giving up 119 points on 51% shooting. Memphis allowed 34 points in the 1st quarter and 33 in the 2nd but tightened up in the 3rd, holding Brooklyn to 24 points. The Nets added 28 more in the 4th to secure the win.

From beyond the arc, the Grizzlies allowed 15 threes on 36% shooting. Brooklyn also went 22/25 from the free-throw line. Memphis gave up eight offensive rebounds while recording nine steals and three blocks.

Betting Trends

• Although Milwaukee has a straight-up record of 2-8 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 3-7. The team averaged 109 points per game in these games.
• When looking at their past three home matchups, Memphis has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 110 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight-up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Bucks have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Bucks are off to a disappointing start to their season but should get back on track today vs a Grizzlies squad that is really banged up. Ja Morant and the Grizzlies could hang around for a while, but with the spread sitting at -6 for Milwaukee, I see there is a ton of value in that pick. I’m taking the Bucks to win and cover tonight.