Bucks vs. Bulls Point Spread Pick

by | Last updated Feb 16, 2023 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (40-17 SU, 31-23-3 ATS) vs. Chicago Bulls (26-32 SU, 29-29-0 ATS)

When: Thursday, February 16th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: United Center, IL, Chicago

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Mil -7/Chi +7 (Bet it FREE by using code PREDICT100 when you deposit $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! They’ll match you dollar for dollar with a 100% REAL CASH bonus!)

Total: OFF

Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks -298/+234

Notable Injuries

Bucks

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Probable) Knee
  • Jae Crowder (Out) Conditioning
  • Bobby Portis (Out) Knee
  • Pat Connaughton (Out) Calf

Bulls

  • DeMar DeRozan (Out) Thigh
  • Goran Dragic (Out) Knee
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (Out) Adductor
  • Lonzo Ball (Out) Knee
  • Javonte Green (Out) Knee

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Milwaukee is 40-17 overall. When taking to the road, Milwaukee has a mark of 16-12 and a win percentage of 57%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 31-23-3 vs the spread. In their matchup against Chicago, the Milwaukee Bucks have won 11 straight games and will look to push that mark to 12 in a row.

The Bucks from Milwaukee triumphed in their last match against the Celtics, achieving a 131-125 victory. Jrue Holiday had the most points for the Bucks with 40. Despite the win, the Bucks did not cover the spread as 9-point favorites.

Heading into the game, Chicago is 26-32 overall. When playing at home, Chicago has a mark of 16-12 and a win percentage of 57%. Currently, the team is 11th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 29-29-0 vs the spread. The Bulls need a win in today’s matchup vs Milwaukee to avoid their 6th straight loss.

In their most recent matchup, the Pacers defeated Chicago with a score of 117-113. Zach LaVine scored the most points for the team with 35, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Bulls were 3 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Bulls picked up the win 118-113 win over the Bucks. Heading into the game, Chicago was the 7.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Bulls have a record of 2-0 vs the Bucks. In terms of betting, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Chicago. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +12 points per game in favor of the Bucks. Over the course of these games, they averaged 216 points per game, leading a 2-3 over-under record.

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Analysis

This season, the Bucks have loved to get up and down the court, as they are currently 10th in the league in possessions per game. However, this has not fully translated into the offensive success they are looking for, as Milwaukee is 13th in scoring at 114.9 points per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Milwaukee’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 4th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.9% of their looks from the outside. On defense, the Bucks are allowing an average of 112.13 points per game, placing them 19th in the league. So far, opposing teams are hitting 35.73% of their looks from deep vs Milwaukee.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is the top scorer for Milwaukee, averaging 32.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 54.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jrue Holiday, with an average of 19.5 points per game.

This year, the Chicago offense is not only near the NBA average in points at 113.3 points per game, but they are also playing at a pace similar to the league average. So far, the Bulls are ranked 14th in possessions per contest. Chicago comes into the game ranked just 30th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.0% of their shots from deep, which places them 30th in the NBA. On defense, the Bulls are allowing an average of 112.0 points per game, placing them 17th in the league. So far, teams have shot 36.4% on their looks from outside vs. Chicago. This figure places them 23rd in 3-point shooting defense.

An important injury to consider for today’s game is that Chicago will be without DeMar DeRozan, who is listed as out on the injury report. Zach LaVine will assume the role of primary scorer for the team. This season, LaVine has been averaging 24.1 points per game for the Bulls.

More Picks: Washington at Minnesota analysis and spread pick for 2/16/23

Betting Trends

  • Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
  • Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Bulls are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games when their starting five players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
  • Bulls are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

At time of print, 81% of the bets are on the Milwaukie Bucks. Generally spreaking, when public backed games exceed 80%+, it’s an auto fade. That’s a term you don’t hear us use around here much because it doesn’t happen very often. A huge media darling and public team on the road on a nationally televised game is a GREAT fade! I’m betting the Bulls +7! Question! When you bet on games, does your bookie charge you -110 odds on sides and totals? (or more?) Of course he does! Can you imagine how much money you’d have saved over the years if you had been wagering on games at -105 odds instead? Probably THOUSANDS of dollars! Dump your overpriced book and start saving BIG bucks today by making the switch to -105 odds at Betanysports! We’ve advertised them for over 16 years with ZERO complaints! Click here to start saving money today!