Brooklyn Nets Battle Miami Heat: NBA Nov 16 Betting Pick

Brooklyn Nets (6-5 SU, 9-1 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (7-4 SU, 4-6 ATS)

When: Thursday, November 16th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Kaseya Center, FL, Miami

TV: NBA

Point Spread: Bkn +4/Mia -4

Total: 217

Money Line: Nets +145/Heat -177

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Notable Injuries

Nets

• Ben Simmons (Out) Lower Back
• Cam Thomas (Out) Ankle

Heat

• Tyler Herro (Out) Ankle
• R.J. Hampton (Out) Knee

Recent Form

The Nets will face the Heat, bringing in an overall record of 6-5 and a 2-1 record over their previous three games. On the road this season, the Nets have posted a 3-2 record, whereas they have a 3-3 record at home.

Today’s matchup sees the Heat seeking to extend their current six-game winning streak, with an overall record standing at 7-4. In their 11 games, the Heat have gone 4-3 against Eastern Conference teams and 3-1 in non-conference action.

The Historicals

The ATS record across the previous 5 head-to-head meetings is 4-1 in favor of the Nets. In these matchups, Brooklyn has averaged 113 points per game while allowing 101. Brooklyn and Miami averaged a combined 214 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

Analysis

Brooklyn’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 124 points against the Magic. They had an overall field goal percentage of 54.1% and made 13/20 free throws. Spencer Dinwiddie led the team in scoring, putting up 29 points. Additionally, Mikal Bridges contributed 21 points for the Nets.

Coming into the game, the Nets’ defense is giving up an average of 112.5 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 54.5% of their games.

In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Nets defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.5% while allowing 33.2% from downtown.

In their recent matchup, the Heat offense ended with 111 points against the Hornets. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 48.2% and made 8 threes. On the offensive front, the Heat have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, ranking 22nd in the NBA. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 10th in terms of percentage and 18th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Heat’s defense is ranked 7th in the league at 109.8 points per contest.

Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.3% and 38.5% from three-point territory.

Betting Trends

• In their last three road games, Brooklyn has averaged 108 points per game while allowing 111. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
• When looking at their past three matchups at home, Miami has an ATS record of 2-0-1 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
• Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Nets have a strong record vs the spread going 3-1-1. Their straight-up mark in these contests is 2-3.
• In their last five contests as the favorite, Miami has a poor record vs the spread going 2-2-1. But they still put together a straight-up mark of 5-0.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Even though Brooklyn can really pile up the points at times, I see the Heat’s defense keeping the Nets in check at home. Even with Tyler Herro out for the Heat, I like Miami at -4. Bet your NBA picks for FREE this weekend by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $50 to $300 by entering bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!