Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Top Prop Bet for Game 3

Boston Celtics (57-25 SU, 52-43-2 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (44-38 SU, 42-53-2 ATS)
When: Sunday, May 21st, 8:30 PM (ET)
Where: Kaseya Center, FL, Miami
TV: TNT

Point Spread: Bos -3.5/Mia +3.5
Total: 213.5
Money Line: Boston Celtics -157/+132

Notable Injuries

Celtics

• Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee

Heat

• Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
• Tyler Herro (Out) Hand

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Boston is 57-25 overall. When taking to the road, Boston has a mark of 25-16 and a win percentage of 61%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 52-43-2 vs the spread. Boston travels to take on the Heat, hoping to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

In their last game, Boston was defeated by the Heat with a score of 111-105. Despite Jayson Tatum scoring 34 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Celtics were 10-point favorites.

Heading into the game, Miami is 44-38 overall. When playing at home, Miami has a mark of 27-14 and a win percentage of 66%. Currently, the team is 8th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 42-53-2 vs the spread. Miami will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Boston as they are the winners of 3 straight games.

After their win against the Celtics, Miami will be looking to continue their momentum. Jimmy Butler had a big game, scoring 27 points to help lead the team to victory. As 10-point underdogs on the spread, the Heat were able to come home with an ATS win

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Heat picked up the win 111-105 win over the Celtics. Heading into the game, Miami was the 10.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Heat have a record of 4-2 vs the Celtics. Through the last 5 matchups between the teams, Miami has an ATS mark of 4-1. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 1 point per game separates the teams. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-1. Combined, they averaged 227 points in these games.

Analysis

For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 117.9 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.3 possessions per contest. The Celtics have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 3rd in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 42.6 attempts per game. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Going into today’s game, Jayson Tatum is the leading scorer for the Boston team, with an average of 30.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 46.6%. The team’s second top scorer is Jaylen Brown, who is averaging 26.6 points per game.

This season, Miami is averaging just 109.5 points per game while averaging just 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of 3-point shooting, the Heat are ranked 17th in attempts per game. Defensively, the Heat have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.57 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.0%.

Bam Adebayo is the top scorer for the Heat, with an average of 20.4 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 54.0%. Jimmy Butler is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 22.9 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last ten games following an ATS loss.
• The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last five Sunday games.
• The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last four Sunday games.
• The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Joes Prop Pick

Jimmy Butler UNDER 28.5 points. Jimmy Buckets ran all over the Celtics. I expect him to receive more attention from the Boston defense in Game 3. J.B. is an unselfish player that dishes the ball off a lot too, so we have that going for us as well.