Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards Pick 3/28/23

Boston Celtics (52-23 SU, 39-34-2 ATS) vs. Washington Wizards (33-42 SU, 33-40-2 ATS)
When: Tuesday, March 28th, 7:00 PM (ET)
Where: Capital One Arena, DC, Washington
TV: NBC

Point Spread: Bos -11.5/Wash +11.5
Total: OFF
Money Line: Boston Celtics -750/+550

Notable Injuries

Celtics

• Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
• Payton Pritchard (Probable) Heel

Wizards

• Bradley Beal (Out) Knee
• Kyle Kuzma (Out) Ankle
• Monte Morris (Questionable) Groin
• Daniel Gafford (Questionable) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Boston is 52-23 overall. When taking to the road, Boston has a mark of 24-14 and a win percentage of 63%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 39-34-2 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Washington, the Boston Celtics have won 3 straight games and will look to push that mark to 4 in a row.

In their preceding game, the Celtics overpowered the Spurs, earning a 137-93 win as 17 point favorites. Jaylen Brown led the way for the Celtics, putting up 41 points on 62.1% shooting. The Celtics not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Washington is 33-42 overall. When playing at home, Washington has a mark of 17-19 and a win percentage of 47%. Currently, the team is 12th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 33-40-2 vs. the spread. In Washington’s last five games, the Wizards have a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 2-8 and 3-7 ATS.

In their last game, Washington was defeated by Raptors with a score of 114-104. Despite Kristaps Porzingis scoring 26 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Wizards were 9-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Celtics picked up the 112-94 win over the Wizards. The Celtics’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 9.5 point favorite. So far this season, the Celtics have a record of 2-0 vs. the Wizards. The ATS record across the previous five head-to-head meetings is 4-1 in favor of the Celtics. In these matchups, Boston has averaged 122 points per game while allowing 103. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 225 points in these games.

Analysis

For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 118.1 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.5 possessions per contest. The Celtics have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 5th in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 42.3 attempts per game. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Jayson Tatum is the top scorer for the Celtics, with an average of 30.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 46.0%. Jaylen Brown is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 27.0 points per game.

This season, Washington is averaging just 112.9 points per game, which places them 22nd in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 97.9 possessions per game. Washington comes into the game ranked just 24th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.8% of their shots from deep, which places them 21st in the NBA. On defense, the Wizards allow an average of 112.0 points per game, placing them 16th in the league. So far, teams have shot 35.92% on their looks from outside vs. Washington. This figure places them 21st in 3-point shooting defense.

Heading into today’s game, Washington will need a strong offensive effort from Kristaps Porzingis and the team’s supporting cast, as Kyle Kuzma won’t be available vs. Boston. So far, Kuzma is averaging 21.2 points per game. Porzingis leads the Wizards at 23.0 points per contest.

Betting Trends

• The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
• The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Wizards are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight-up loss.
• The Wizards are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall

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Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Celtics are absolutely hammering their opponents. They’ve won their last three games in a row with margins of 23, 25, and 44! I think they smash the Wiz tonight!