Best Bet Alert: Warriors vs. Lakers Game 3 Pick

Golden State Warriors (44-38 SU, 43-47-1 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (43-39 SU, 45-43-3 ATS)
When: Saturday, May 6th, 8:30 PM (ET)
Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles
TV: ABC

Point Spread: GS +3/LAL -3 Don’t forget to check out Ken Strong’s Derby Picks for today’s big race!
Total: 228
Money Line: Golden State Warriors +126/-150

Notable Injuries

Warriors

• Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
• Patrick Baldwin Jr. (Questionable) Toe
• Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Lakers

• Anthony Davis (Probable) Foot
• LeBron James (Probable) Foot
• Mo Bamba (Questionable) Ankle

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Golden State is 44-38 overall. When taking to the road, Golden State has a mark of 11-30 and a win percentage of 27%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 43-47-1 vs the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs the spread, they are 3-2 in their past 5 games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS.

In their preceding game, the Warriors overpowered the Lakers, earning a 127-100 win as 7 point favorites. Klay Thompson led the way for the Warriors, putting up 30 points on 61.1% shooting. The Warriors not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 43-39 overall. When playing at home, Los Angeles has a mark of 23-18 and a win percentage of 56%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 45-43-3 vs the spread. In Los Angeles’ last 5 games, the Lakers have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 7-3 and 5-5 ATS.

In their most recent matchup, the Warriors defeated Los Angeles with a score of 127-100. LeBron James scored the most points for the team with 23, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Lakers were 7 points ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Warriors picked up the 127-100 win over the Lakers. The Warriors’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 7.0 point favorite. So far this season, the Lakers have a record of 4-2 vs the Warriors. The level of competition has been tight in the 5 most recent games between the Warriors and Lakers with just 1 point per game separating the teams. Los Angeles has the ATS edge in this span at 4-1. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 223 points per game.

Analysis

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.9 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.7 possessions per game. The Warriors have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 5th in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 43.2 attempts per game. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Coming into today’s game, Jordan Poole is the leading scorer for Golden State at 20.4 points per game. This season, Poole has a field goal percentage of 43.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Stephen Curry, at 29.4 points per contest.

This season, Los Angeles is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game. So far, the Lakers are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.8 possessions per game. Los Angeles has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 35th in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.6%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.2 attempts per contest. Defense has been a struggle for Los Angeles, as they are currently allowing 115.15 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.38% of their looks from deep, placing the Lakers 18th in the NBA.

LeBron James is the top scorer for Los Angeles, averaging 28.9 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 50.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Anthony Davis with an average of 25.9 points per game.

Betting Trends

• The Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• The Warriors are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 road games.
• The Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
• The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

: I’m not sure what the heck happened with Anthony Davis in game 2, but I GUARANTEE he’ll be more active in Game 3. The Lakers at -3 are as good as any NBA bet I’ve seen in the last month!