76ers vs. Celtics Game 5 Betting Analysis & Lean

Philadelphia 76ers (54-28 SU, 53-36-1 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (57-25 SU, 50-40-2 ATS)

When: Tuesday, May 9th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: TD Garden, MA, Boston

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Phi +7.5/Bos -7.5 (Do yourself a favor! Learn reduced juice!)

Total: 213.5

Money Line: Philadelphia 76ers +242/-297

Notable Injuries

76ers

• Joel Embiid (Questionable) Knee

Celtics

• Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Philadelphia is 54-28 overall. When taking to the road, Philadelphia has a mark of 25-16 and a win percentage of 61%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 53-36-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past 5 games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past 10 games, they are 8-2 SU and 8-2 ATS.

In their upcoming game, Philadelphia will be looking to capitalize on their recent win over the Celtics. James Harden led the way for the 76ers with 42 points. Despite being 1 point underdogs on the spread, the 76ers were able to secure an ATS win.

Heading into the game, Boston is 57-25 overall. When playing at home, Boston has a mark of 32-9 and a win percentage of 78%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 50-40-2 vs the spread. In Boston’s last 5 games, the Celtics have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 6-4 and 6-4 ATS.

In their most recent matchup, the 76ers defeated Boston with a score of 116-115. Jayson Tatum scored the most points for the team with 24, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Celtics were 1 point ahead going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the 76ers picked up the win 116-115 win over the Celtics. Heading into the game, Philadelphia was the 1.0-point underdogs, giving them an ATS win. So far this season, the Celtics have a record of 5-3 vs the 76ers. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Celtics have averaged 113 points per game compared to 105 for Philadelphia. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Boston. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 218 points in these games.

Analysis

This season, the 76ers offense is averaging 115.2 points per game, which is 20th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Philadelphia has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 97.1 possessions per game. Philadelphia has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 2nd in 3-point shooting percentage at 38.7%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 32.6 attempts per contest. Defensively, the 76ers have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.3 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.56%.

Heading into the game, Joel Embiid is listed as questionable on the injury report. This season, he leads the team with a per-game scoring average of 33.1. Currently, Tyrese Maxey is 2nd on the team in scoring at 20.3 points per game.

For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 117.9 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.3 possessions per contest. The Celtics have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 1st in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 42.6 attempts per game. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Coming into today’s game, Jayson Tatum is the leading scorer for Boston at 30.1 points per game. This season, Tatum has a field goal percentage of 46.6%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jaylen Brown at 26.6 points per contest.

Betting Trends

• The 76ers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
• The 76ers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
• The Celtics are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• The Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

As noted in our lead-in, Game 5 is a very difficult pick to make with a point spread of -7.5. My lean is the Celtics -7.5. Note: Have you been following our free daily MLB picks? We’ve been on fire all season! Always 100% FREE!