Yankees vs. Red Sox Picks & Predictions 6/16/24

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Sunday, June 16th, 7:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Yankees -151/Red Sox +127
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Yankees on Sunday, June 16th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

At 7:10 PM from Fenway Park in Boston, we have an AL East matchup between the Yankees and Red Sox. New York is 50-23 this season, while the Red Sox are 36-35. Kutter Crawford is starting for the Red Sox, and the Yankees are starting Marcus Stroman.

The Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -151 compared to the Red Sox at +127. Sunday’s over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and ESPN will be televising this one.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 50-23 SU / OU 34-37 / Runline 44-29
Boston Red Sox: 36-35 SU / OU 31-35 / Runline 33-38

Boston picked up an 8-4 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a three-run 1st inning and added two more in the 2nd, 3rd, and 8th innings. As for the Yankees, they scored their first run in the 7th and added three more in the 8th.

Cooper Criswell only went four innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Justin Slaten got the win out of the bullpen. Carlos Rodon had a rough outing for the Yankees, going five innings and giving up five runs on seven hits.

Juan Soto hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Ceddanne Rafaela had a three-hit game for the Red Sox, scoring twice and driving in a run.

Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees come into today’s road matchup vs. the Red Sox with an overall record of 50-23, which has them leading the AL East by 2.5 games over the Orioles. This season, the Yankees have gone just 9-9 in divisional games, and they are currently tied with the Red Sox in their series at 1-1.

So far, the Yankees have been really good on the road, going 28-13 compared to 22-10 at home. New York has been really good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 38-18, which includes going 17-9 as the favorite on the road. The Yankees have been really good in night games this year, going 34-14, and their series record is 17-3-2 this year, including winning six straight series on the road.

The Yankees have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 44-29 overall. They’ve been especially profitable on the road, where they are 26-15 against the run line. They’ve been a good bet as the underdog, going 14-3 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8 runs, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.7 runs.

When the Yankees are on the road, the over/under line in their games is usually set lower than 9 runs. In fact, only 9.6% of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-37 overall.

Red Sox Records & Recent Play

Boston is 36-35 overall and trails the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. The Red Sox are 3rd in the division and have gone just 6-9 in divisional games this year. As the Red Sox are at home today, they are 17-20 at home compared to 19-15 on the road.

As the favorite, the Red Sox have gone 19-14 this year and 17-21 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 9-9-4, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

When betting the run line with the Red Sox, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road than at home. They’re 20-14 vs. the run line on the road, compared to 13-24 at home. They’re also 21-17 vs. the run line as an underdog, compared to 12-21 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.5, while it’s -3.7 in losing games.

The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the New York Yankees today, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Red Sox have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 31-35. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have a record of 5-1-2. Only 12.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher this season.

Pitching Matchup

New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 2.82. Stroman has made 14 starts this year and has pitched well on the road, coming in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.94. In his last outing, Stroman picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Stroman’s ERA at home is 4.45. So far, he has made six quality starts.

Red Sox starter Kutter Crawford will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, where he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Crawford has taken the loss in each of his last four starts and has a record of 2-6 this season. Crawford’s ERA is 3.47, and he has a WHIP of 1.18. Opposing batters are hitting .228 this season vs. Crawford. The right-hander has made six appearances on the road, coming away with a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 2.59. At home, his ERA is 4.32.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. New York’s offense has been a major threat with the long ball this season, as they are 2nd in the league in homers and have the 2nd best isolated power figure in the league. The Yankees are also the top home run hitting team in the league.

Not only do the Yankees have the league’s top home run hitter in Aaron Judge, but he is also leading the MLB in RBIs. Juan Soto is also among the league leaders in RBIs and is batting .319 for the season. Soto and Judge have also been hot of late, as they are both on four-game hitting streaks. Over his last four games, Giancarlo Stanton is 7/17 with two homers.

The Red Sox offense has been one of the better lineups in the league this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 10th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .250, which is the 6th-best mark in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and on-base percentage.

Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, as his 13 homers are the best on the team and 9th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 34 RBIs. Jarren Duran comes into the game with a six-game hitting streak and is batting .275 for the season. Over his last eight games, David Hamilton is hitting .300 with two homers.

Free Yankees vs. Red Sox MLB Pick

I think you can do better than the -151 money line odds in this one because the Yankees should pull it out by multiple runs. I’m taking the Yankees on the run line in this Sunday Night matchup.

So far, the Yankees have been really good on the road, going 28-13 compared to 22-10 at home. New York has been really good as the favorite this year, putting up a mark of 38-18, which includes going 17-9 as the favorite on the road. The Yankees have been really good in night games this year, going 34-14, and their series record is 17-3-2 this year, including winning six straight series on the road.

The Yankees have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 44-29 overall. They’ve been especially profitable on the road, where they are 26-15 against the run line. They’ve been a good bet as the underdog, going 14-3 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8 runs, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.7 runs.

When the Yankees are on the road, the over/under line in their games is usually set lower than 9 runs. In fact, only 9.6% of their games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 34-37 overall.