Yankees vs. Red Sox: Odds, Picks, and Predictions – July 27th

Get the latest picks and predictions as the New York Yankees face the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. Joe Jensen provides expert analysis, betting odds, and insights for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Saturday, July 27th, 7:15 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: FOX
Money Line: Yankees -111/Red Sox -108
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Yankees on Saturday, July 27th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the Yankees and Red Sox facing off in an AL East matchup. This one gets started at 7:15 PM ET and is being televised on FOX. The money line odds have the Yankees at -111 compared to the Red Sox at -108. The over/under line is sitting at 9.5 runs.

New York comes in with a record of 60-45 and is starting Marcus Stroman, while the Red Sox are 55-47 and will have Kutter Crawford on the mound. The Red Sox are looking to avoid the sweep, as they’ve dropped three in a row. The Yankees are currently 2nd in the AL East, while the Red Sox are 3rd.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 60-45 SU / OU 55-46 / Runline 54-51

Boston Red Sox: 55-47 SU / OU 49-47 / Runline 48-54

Boston picked up a 9-7 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 1st inning, scoring nine of their ten runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their seven runs in the 5th and 7th innings.

Brayan Bello got the start for the Red Sox, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out four. He did not factor in the decision as the win went to Bailey Horn out of the bullpen. Kenley Jansen got the save. Nestor Cortes only went 4 2/3 innings for the Yankees, giving up four runs on nine hits.

Austin Wells had a big game at the plate for the Yankees, going 3/5 with a home run. Anthony Volpe also went deep for New York, going 2/5. Aaron Judge went 1/4 with three RBIs.

Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees are 60-45 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles for the division lead. New York will be on the road today, facing the Red Sox, and they are 18-22 against other AL East teams. They have dropped three straight games, including the series opener vs. the Red Sox.

At home, the Yankees are 27-23 this season, and they are 33-22 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 46-39 this season and 14-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Yankees are 18-10-4 this year, and they are 4-6 across their last 10 games.

When betting the Yankees on the run line, it’s been profitable to take them on the road, as they are 31-24 against the run line away from home. However, they have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games and are just 3-7 in their last 10 games as the run line favorite.

The New York Yankees are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox, with the over/under line set at 9.5 runs. The Yankees have an over/under record of 55-46 on the season, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in 6 of 9 games. The over has hit in their last two games.

Red Sox Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 55-47, the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East, 5.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. Currently, they trail the Yankees by 2 games for the 2nd spot in the division. So far, they have gone 14-11 in AL East matchups.

At home, the Red Sox are an even 25-25 this season, and they are 30-22 on the road. Boston has won three straight games at home, and they are 8-9 as the home underdog this year. As the favorite, the Red Sox have gone 31-21, and they are 15-12-5 in series this year.

When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -4.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 48-54 against the run line, with a run line record of 19-31 at home and 29-23 on the road. As the favorite, they are just 19-33 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 29-21.

The Boston Red Sox are playing at home today against the New York Yankees. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their season average of 9 runs per game. The Red Sox have gone over the total in 49 of their 96 games this season, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. The over has hit in six of their 13 games with a 9.5 run line, and their games have gone over the total in two straight contests.

Pitching Matchup

New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. Stroman is coming off a start in which he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings vs. the Rays and giving up three runs (two earned). Looking back over his last four starts, he has allowed at least two homers in three of them. Stroman’s record for the season is 7-5, and his ERA is 3.51. Out of his 20 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 6.77 strikeouts per nine innings. This year, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 2.91.

Boston is sending Kutter Crawford to the mound today vs. the Yankees, and he comes into the game with a record of 6-8 and an ERA of 3.37. Looking back at his last outing, Crawford took the loss vs. the Dodgers, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Crawford has made 20 appearances this year and has a total of 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.57 strikeouts and just 2.22 walks. For the year, he has given up 19 homers.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in runs per game at 5, but they also have the 2nd best home run total in the league and are the top team in terms of drawing walks. As a team, the Yankees are batting .248, which is 8th in the league, and they have an elite team on-base percentage and OPS. New York’s offense has been especially good at home, where they are averaging 5.3 runs per game.

Yankees fans have seen some impressive hitting performances of late, as Juan Soto has gone 15/39 in his last nine games with four homers, and Aaron Judge is on a 10-game hitting streak. For the season, Judge leads the MLB with 36 homers and is also the league leader in RBIs (92). Soto is right behind him in both categories, with 26 homers and 72 RBIs.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is 8th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, the Red Sox are batting .258 as a team, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They also come into the game with a league-best .32 BABIP.

Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the team’s top hitters of late, with Duran going 10/27 in his last six games and O’Neill batting .364 with four homers in his last five games. Duran also has a nine-game hitting streak coming into the game. For the season, Duran is batting .291 with 13 homers, and O’Neill is hitting .268 with 20 homers.

Free Yankees vs. Red Sox MLB Pick

Yesterday was a high-scoring one between the Red Sox and Yankees, with 16 combined runs. I’m expecting another game with a lot runs. Marcus Stroman has allowed more than one homer in two of his last three outings and Kutter Crawford was just tagged for five homers vs. the Dodgers on July 21st. I like the over at 9.5 runs.