Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction: High-Scoring Affair at Camden Yards?

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: Monday, April 28th, 6:35 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: MASN
Money Line: Yankees -120/Orioles +100
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Baltimore Orioles and the Yankees on Monday, April 28th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

The money line odds for Monday’s Yankees vs. Orioles matchup have the Yankees favored, as their odds are sitting at -120 compared to +100 for the Orioles. This one is getting started at 6:35 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s.

New York is currently on a two-game winning streak and is 17-11 overall, while the Orioles are 10-17 and have lost three straight. Will Warren is starting for the Yankees, and the Orioles are sending Tomoyuki Sugano to the mound.

Yankees vs. Orioles Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 17-11 SU / OU 13-13 / Runline 17-11
Baltimore Orioles: 10-17 SU / OU 14-10 / Runline 10-17

Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, closing out their series with a 5-1 win. After allowing one run to the Blue Jays in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with three runs of their own. New York went on to add another two runs in the 6th inning.

Clarke Schmidt put together a good start for the Yankees, going five innings and, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. New York’s offense was carried by J.C. Escarra, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Yankees are currently 17-11 overall and lead the AL East by two games over the Red Sox. New York is on a two-game winning streak, taking the final two games of their series vs. the Blue Jays. So far, they have gone 5-2 in divisional matchups this year.

So far, the Yankees have been good at home, going 10-5, and they are just above .500 on the road at 7-6. As the underdog, the Yankees have been good this year, putting together a record of 17-11. Their series record is 5-4 heading into today’s game vs. the Orioles.

Orioles Records & Recent Play

The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 7-0 loss. Baltimore was the +202 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Things really got away from the Orioles in the 2nd inning, as the Tigers scored two runs to take the lead. Detroit added another two runs in the 4th to put the Orioles out of reach. Baltimore’s offense scored their only run in the 2nd.

Dean Kremer got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs on four hits. Jorge Mateo was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored. The Orioles also had three other players with a hit.

The Orioles come into today’s game vs. the Yankees with a record of 10-17, which has them 5th in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Yankees by 6.5 games for the division lead and are four games back of the Blue Jays for the 4th spot in the division. Baltimore has dropped three straight games, and this came after losing the final game of their series vs. the A’s.

So far, the Orioles are 5-6 at home compared to 5-11 on the road. As the underdog, Baltimore is 10-17 this year and has lost three straight as the underdog. The Orioles have not yet been the favorite this year; they are 1-6-2 in series this year, and they have lost three straight series.

Pitching Matchup

Will Warren is getting the start for the Yankees on the road against the Orioles. Warren has started three games this season and has a win under his belt. He has gone five innings in each of his starts, and his last time out, he took a no-decision against the Guardians, going five innings and giving up two earned runs.

Tomoyuki Sugano will be making his 3rd start of the season, and he has been solid through his first two outings. He picked up a win in his first start, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs. Then, in his last start, he went seven innings and gave up three runs, but he took a no-decision.

Yankees vs. Orioles Offense Outlook

As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5.5 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They are also the league’s top home run-hitting team and have the best team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. The Yankees are also the league’s top power-hitting team, as they have a collective isolated power (ISO) of .206.

Right fielder Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 15/36 in his last nine games with a home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .406 with a team-high eight homers. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is also near the top of the home run leaderboard, but he is batting just .178 so far. Center fielder Trent Grisham is batting .298 for the season and has gone deep three times in his last five games.

So far this season, the Orioles are averaging four runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging five runs per game. As a team, the Orioles are batting just .223, but they do have the 7th most home runs in the league. Baltimore’s team on-base percentage is just .297, and they are also 23rd in the league in walks.

Cedric Mullins has been a bright spot for the Orioles this season, as he is batting .279 with a team-high 20 RBIs and six homers. Mullins’ OBP of .421 is also the best mark on the team. Jordan Westburg has gone 9/29 in his last seven games and is batting .217 for the season with four homers. Ryan O’Hearn and Adley Rutschman are also tied for 2nd on the team with four homers.

Free Yankees vs. Orioles MLB Pick

Even with the total sitting at 9.5 runs, I’m not hesitating to take the over. I see both the Yankees and Orioles lineup having some big game at the plate, and this game should feature plenty of run scoring. Don’t get scared off by the high number, and take the over at 9.5 runs.

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