Yankees vs. Mariners Analysis & Free Pick 8/8/22

New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Monday August 8th, 10:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: YES
Money Line: Yankees -120 / Mariners +100 (Bovada)
Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Jameson Taillon (10-2, 3.96) Seattle: Logan Gilbert (10-4, 3.16)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Josh Donaldson 3B Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS Andrew Benintendi LF Aaron Judge RF Aaron Hicks CF Jose Trevino C Anthony Rizzo 1B Gleyber Torres 2B DJ LeMahieu 1B Jameson Taillon P

Mariners Projected Lineup

J.P. Crawford SS Cal Raleigh C Jesse Winker LF Mitch Haniger RF Carlos Santana 1B Eugenio Suárez 3B Jarred Kelenic LF Adam Frazier 2B Ty France 1B Logan Gilbert P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Yankees: 70-39-0 SU / OU 55-51-3 / Run Line W/L 51-58-0 Seattle Mariners: 59-51-0 SU / OU 52-54-4 / Run Line W/L 55-55-0

The Seattle Mariners host the New York Yankees on Monday, August 8th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Yankees will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Cardinals by the score of 12-9. New York’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 11 hits, leading to 12 runs. On offense, the Yankees’ 16 hits and 9 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. This defeat came despite being favored at -127.0. Through 100 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 66.0%. With the over-under line set at 8.0 runs, the Yankees and Cardinals combined to go over this total. New York has had more than half of their games go over the over-under line (55-51-3).

The Yankees will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 0-5 over their last 5 games. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -11. New York’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 4.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests. So far, New York has won over half of their 36 series played, going 23-8-5.

Seattle will look to keep things rolling in today’s game, as they most recently took down Angels by 3 runs 6-3. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 3 runs on 8 hits. Offensively, they finished with 6 runs on 8 hits. Heading into action, Seattle was the favorite at -160.0. So far, the team has won 64.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Mariners and Angels went over the run total line set at 8.0 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 52-54-4.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have put together a record of 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +1 (last 5). Seattle has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.05. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 18-14-2.

Pitching Matchup

Jameson Taillon gets the start for the Yankees, with an overall record of 10-2. To date, Taillon has an ERA of 3.96 while lasting an average of 5.39 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.25. Home runs have been an issue for Taillon, as he is allowing an average of 1.27 per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Jameson Taillon has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. This includes a per game average of 4.67 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Taillon, as he is giving up 1.66 walks per outing.

Logan Gilbert gets the start for the Mariners, with an overall record of 10-4. Currently, Gilbert has a strong ERA of just 3.16 while pitching an average of 5.82 innings per outing. Across his previous appearances, the right-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.239. Throughout the season, Gilbert has done a good job limiting home runs, allowing 1.12 per 9 innings. Per game, Logan Gilbert is averaging 5.45, on a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. Command has been a problem for Gilbert, as he is giving up 2.52 walks per outing.

New York vs Seattle History

For the season, the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners will be playing their 4th game of the season. Currently, Seattle is winning the season series 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-0. The average run total in these games is 7.14 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.67 runs. Going back to last year, New York won the season series, 5 games to 2. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 2-5. Last year, the Yankees and Mariners averaged 7.14 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.14 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

• NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
• NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
• Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
• Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Monday night’s American League matchup between New York and Seattle, the Yankees have the slight edge on the moneyline. Tonight’s game will be a rematch of Jameson Taillon and Logan Gilbert. The two pitchers made their last start against each other, and neither fared well, giving up 5 and 6 earned runs, respectively. If this ends up being another high-scoring game, I give the edge to the Yankees. I like New York on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Yankees Moneyline.