Yankees vs. Dodgers World Series Game 1 Predictions: Cole vs. Flaherty

by | Last updated Oct 25, 2024 | mlb

New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Friday, October 25th, 8:08 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: FOX
Money Line: NYY +107/LAD -126
Total Line: 8.5

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Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Yankees on Friday, October 25th at Dodger Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
NYY +107 +1.5 O 8.5 (-109)
LAD -126 -1.5 U 8.5 (-112)

The Dodgers have won five straight games and are 98-64 overall, while the Yankees are 94-68 and are starting Gerrit Cole. Los Angeles will be sending Jack Flaherty to the mound. The moneyline odds have the Dodgers favored at -126, while the Yankees are the slight underdog at +107. Tonight’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on FOX.

First pitch from Dodger Stadium is set for 8:08 PM ET, and the forecast for Friday’s matchup calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s. Los Angeles is currently in 1st place in the NL West, while the Yankees are 1st in the AL East.

Yankees vs. Dodgers Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Gleyber Torres 1 2B
Juan Soto 2 RF
Aaron Judge 3 CF
Austin Wells 4 C
Giancarlo Stanton 5 DH
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 6 3B
Anthony Volpe 7 SS
Anthony Rizzo 8 1B
Alex Verdugo 9 LF
Gerrit Cole SP

 

Player Batting Order Position
Shohei Ohtani 1 DH
Mookie Betts 2 RF
Freddie Freeman 3 1B
Teoscar Hernández 4 LF
Max Muncy 5 3B
Will Smith 6 C
Gavin Lux 7 2B
Tommy Edman 8 SS
Enrique Hernández 9 CF
Jack Flaherty SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 94-68 SU / OU 90-76 / Runline 89-82
Los Angeles Dodgers: 98-64 SU / OU 99-69 / Runline 89-84

Yankees Records & Recent Play

New York closed out their series vs. the Guardians with a 5-2 win on the road. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -132 on the money line. It was a three-run 10th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Guardians could only score two runs in the bottom of the 10th. The Yankees’ offense was carried by Juan Soto, who went 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

Carlos Rodon got the start for the Yankees, going 4 2/3 innings, and gave up just two runs on five hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and took the no-dejson. Luke Weaver got the win out of the bullpen and the Yankees’s starter, and Aroldis Chapman picked up the save.

As the Yankees prepare to face the Dodgers in game one of the World Series, they’ll be looking to snap a two-game losing streak as underdogs. New York posted a 94-68 regular season record, including a 50-31 mark on the road and 44-37 at home. As road underdogs, they went 17-6 this year.

New York’s run line record for the season is 89-82, with a 52-34 mark against the run line on the road. As underdogs, they’ve gone 22-4 against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.1 total runs, while today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their over/under record is 90-76.

Dodgers Records & Recent Play

The Dodgers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Mets, closing out their series with a 10-5 win. After allowing one run to the Mets in the top of the first, the Dodgers responded with two runs of their own. Los Angeles went on to add another eight runs in the 3rd inning!

Ben Casparius picked up the win out of the bullpen, and the Dodgers’s offense was carried by Tommy Edman, who went 2/5 with a homer and four RBIs.

As the Dodgers prepare to host the Yankees in game one of the World Series, they’ll look to build on their strong 52-29 home record. Los Angeles went 46-35 on the road this season and posted a 98-64 overall mark. As home favorites, they finished 54-31.

Los Angeles went 89-84 against the run line this year, with a +0.9 average run margin at home and +1.2 on the road. At home, they were 44-43 versus the run line. The Dodgers’ over/under record is 99-69, and the over has hit in their last six games. Today’s 8.5-run line is below their season average of 9 runs.

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Pitching Matchup

Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. The right-hander has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with a 3.41 ERA. Cole’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Cole has been much better on the road this season, coming in with a record of 6-3 and an ERA of 2.89 compared to 3-2 with a 4.8 ERA at home.

Jack Flaherty will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he faces the Yankees today. The right-hander gave up eight earned runs in just three innings of work in his last start, coming out with the loss. Before that, he had pitched well, going seven innings without giving up an earned run in the outing before that. For the season, Flaherty is 13-7 with a 3.17 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .216 off Flaherty this year. He has made 28 starts, 15 of which were quality starts.

Yankees vs. Dodgers Offense Outlook

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 3rd in runs scored at five runs per game. Their team batting average of .248 is 7th in the league, and they have the best team on-base percentage in the league. So far, they have been a good power hitting team, as their isolated power (ISO) of .181 is 3rd in the league.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the top two hitters for the Yankees this season, and both are among the league leaders in home runs. Judge’s 144 RBIs are the best in the league, and his 58 homers are also the top mark in the MLB. Over his last eight games, Giancarlo Stanton has gone 10/30 with five home runs and 11 RBIs.

Shohei Ohtani has been a huge addition to the Dodgers lineup this season, as he is batting .310 with 54 home runs and 130 RBIs. Ohtani is on a four-game hitting streak, as is Mookie Betts, who is batting .310 over his last ten games and has four homers in that stretch. Betts’ four homers are also the most in the Dodgers lineup over the past ten games.

As a team, the Dodgers lead the league in OPS, slugging percentage, and isolated power. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. The Dodgers are also one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts and are 2nd in the league in walks.

Free Yankees vs. Dodgers MLB Pick

You couldn’t ask for a better pitching matchup to kick off the World Series, as the Yankees have Gerrit Cole on the mound vs. Jack Flaherty. Look for New York’s return to the World Series to start with a bang, as I see them getting off to a hot start. I’m taking the Yankees on the money line for my Game 1 pick.

    

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