Yankees vs. Cardinals Total Pick & Analysis

New York Yankees vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Saturday, July 1st, 2:15 ET
Location: Busch Stadium
TV: FS1
Money Line: Yankees -109/Cardinals -110
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Yankees on Saturday, July 1st at Busch Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Yankees vs. Cardinals Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 45-36 SU / OU 34-43 / Runline 44-37
St. Louis Cardinals: 33-47 SU / OU 40-39 / Runline 35-45

On a record of 45-36, the Yankees are 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 10 games out of the division lead. Against the Cardinals, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 20-17 while going 25-19 at home. New York’s overall series record is 14-8-4.

• The Yankees have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.5.
• The Yankees have been favored in 67.9% of their games and have runline records of 21-23 and 23-14 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 34-43.

If the Cardinals are going to climb out of last place in the NL Central, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Yankees. Heading into the game, the Cardinals have lost two straight games and stand with an overall record of 33-47. On the road, the Cardinals are 18-23 and 15-24 at home. The team’s overall series record is 8-13-4.

• The Cardinals have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.4.
• The Cardinals have been favored in 58.8% of their games and have runline records of 14-25 and 21-20 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 51% of the Cardinals’ 80 games at 40-39.

Pitching Matchup

Starter Luis Severino comes in with an overall record of 1-2 for the Yankees. Having made seven appearances, his ERA is 5.25 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.9. Additionally, he has a FIP of 5.80 and an OBP of .327.

In his last outing, Luis Severino finished with a quality start and picked up the win in a 1-0 victory over the Rangers. Severino gave up zero runs and five hits across six innings.

Starter Jack Flaherty comes in with an overall record of 4-5 for the Cardinals. Having made 15 appearances, his ERA is 4.95 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.20 and an OBP of .375.

Jack Flaherty’s most recent appearance ended with him allowing six runs allowed on 10 hits to the Nationals. For the game, Flaherty picked up the win as the Cardinals won by a score of 8-6.

Yankees vs. Cardinals Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Yankees have hit 116 home runs and are one of the top teams in baseball in this category (5th). They are averaging 4.5 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .231. The team’s slugging percentage is .406 at home and .390 on the road.

New York Yankees Top Hitters vs. Righties

New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

This season, the Cardinals are one of the top power hitting lineups in the league, with 109 home runs (7th). This has led to an average of 4.6 runs per game and a collective batting average of .250. At home, their slugging percentage is .419, compared to .402 on the road.

St. Louis Cardinals Top Bats

St. Louis Cardinals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

The Yankees Luis Severino looked good in his latest against a good hitting Texas club, pitching six shut-out innings, but he’s been very inconsistent with a 29% quality start mark overall with zero on the road across four starts. It also should be noted that he currently holds a 7.85 ERA over those starts.
Jack Flaherty has been having a rough go of it this season, possessing a 4.95 ERA which includes a 2-3 home record with a nasty 7.06 ERA in six starts.
Take the Over 9