Yankees at Mariners Pick: Can New York Secure a Crucial Road Victory?

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Tuesday, September 17th, 9:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: YES
Money Line: NYY -119/Sea +101 (Bet on games at reduced odds at Betanysports!)
Total Line: 7

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Yankees on Tuesday, September 17th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

YES is carrying Tuesday’s Yankees vs. Mariners game on TV, with the first pitch being set for 9:40 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Yankees are 87-63 and they are starting Luis Gil, while the Mariners are 77-73 and Bryan Woo. New York is 1st in the AL East, while the Mariners have won three straight and they are 2nd in the AL West.

The money line odds have the Yankees at -119 compared to the Mariners at +101, and the over/under line is at 7 runs. New York is favored despite having lost three of their last four, while the Mariners have won three straight.

Yankees vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 87-63 SU / OU 79-66 / Runline 77-73
Seattle Mariners: 77-73 SU / OU 70-71 / Runline 64-86

Yankees Records & Recent Play

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with a 5-2 win. After allowing one run to the Red Sox in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with three runs of their own. New York went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning.

Carlos Rodon got the start for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up two runs on six hits and issued just two walks. The Yankees’s offense was carried by Gleyber Torres, who went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Yankees come into today’s game vs. the Mariners with an overall record of 87-63, which has them leading the AL East by three games over the Orioles. This season, the Yankees have gone 25-24 in divisional games, and they are 45-30 on the road, compared to 42-33 at home. New York has won three straight series, and they took three of four from the Red Sox in their most recent series.

As the favorite, the Yankees are 69-56 this season, and they have gone 18-7 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 28-16-4 this year, and they have won three straight series. Their record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

The Yankees are 44-31 against the run line on the road, and their average run margin is +1.2. They are 21-4 against the run line as an underdog and 56-69 as a favorite. In their 77 wins, they have an average run margin of +4.0, while in their 73 losses, they have an average run margin of -3.6.

The Yankees are on the road in Seattle today, with the over/under line set at 7 runs. New York’s games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-66. The over/under line for their games has averaged 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, the over has hit in both games. Overall, 98.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

Mariners Records & Recent Play

Mitch Garver had a big game at the plate for the Mariners in their most recent game vs. the Rangers, going 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs. The Mariners really broke things open with a three-run 1st inning and added another three runs in the 4th. Seattle’s offense was hot right out of the gates, and the Rangers could only score a total of three runs. George Kirby started for the Mariners, going seven innings and not giving up a run.

Seattle’s bullpen closed things out with two scoreless innings, and the Mariners picked up a 7-0 win. Heading into the game, the Mariners were the heavy favorite at -161 at home.

Seattle is four games behind the Astros in the AL West as they host the Yankees today. The Mariners have an overall record of 77-73, and they have won three straight games, heading into today’s matchup. They picked up these three straight wins in the final three games of their series vs. the Rangers.

At home, the Mariners are 45-30 this season compared to 32-43 on the road. As the home underdog, the Mariners have gone 9-6 this year, and they are 21-26 as the underdog overall. Seattle has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 56-47 when favored this year. So far, they have an even series record of 21-23-4.

Seattle has been a very average team this season, with an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game. They have a run line record of 64-86, and are 32-43 against the run line at home and on the road. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 23-24 against the run line, while they are just 41-62 as the favorite.

The over/under line for today’s game between the Mariners and Yankees is set at 7 runs. Seattle’s games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 70-71. When the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 15-19-7. The over has hit in four straight games for the Mariners.

Pitching Matchup

New York is sending right-hander Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made 26 starts this year and has a record of 13-6 with an ERA of 3.18. Gil’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.17. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 10.35 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Gil finished with a no-decision vs. the Royals, going five innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryan Woo to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 8-2. Currently, Woo has an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 0.82. Opposing batters are hitting .197 off Woo this season. In his last outing, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Looking back further, he has allowed two earned runs in three straight outings. Woo has been especially tough at home, coming in with a record of 5-0 and a 1.61 ERA.

Yankees vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in runs per game at 5. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and are also the top team in terms of walks. New York’s team on-base percentage of .333 is 2nd in the league.

Aaron Judge has been on a tear for the Yankees, as he leads the league with 132 RBIs and is also 1st in the league with 53 home runs. His batting average of .321 is also the best on the team. Over his last six games, Judge has gone 6/20 with two homers. Gleyber Torres also has two homers in his last six games and is batting .269 in that stretch.

Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the MLB. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts per game. The Mariners are also near the bottom of the league in terms of team batting average and slugging percentage. However, they have been good at drawing walks and have the league’s 13th best on-base percentage.

Cal Raleigh and Luke Raley are both near the top of the Mariners’ home run leaderboard, but both players have batting averages under .250. Julio Rodriguez and Raley have been swinging the bat well of late, with Rodriguez going 14/45 in his last 10 games and Raley going 12/34.

Free Yankees vs. Mariners MLB Pick

On Tuesday’s MLB slate, I’m targeting the late game as my best bet. With the money line sitting at -119, I see taking the Yankees as a steal. Go ahead and grab New York on the money line for Tuesday’s matchup with the Mariners.

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