Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs Odds, Stats, Free Pick

by | Last updated Jul 18, 2023 | mlb

Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs
Date: Tuesday, July 18th, 8:05 ET
Location: Wrigley Field
TV: MARQ
Money Line: Nationals +152/Cubs -181 (Save a ton of cash by wagering at reduced odds at BAS!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Chicago Cubs and the Nationals on Tuesday, July 18th at Wrigley Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
WSH +152 +1.5 O 8.5 (-122)
CHC -181 -1.5 U 8.5 (101)

Nationals vs. Cubs Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
CJ Abrams 1 SS
Lane Thomas 2 RF
Jeimer Candelario 3 3B
Joey Meneses 4 DH
Keibert Ruiz 5 C
Corey Dickerson 6 LF
Dominic Smith 7 1B
Luis García 8 2B
Alex Call 9 CF
Patrick Corbin SP

 

Batting Order Position
Nico Hoerner 1 2B
Seiya Suzuki 2 RF
Ian Happ 3 LF
Cody Bellinger 4 CF
Yan Gomes 5 C
Trey Mancini 6 1B
Christopher Morel 7 CF
Miguel Amaya 8 C
Patrick Wisdom 9 3B
Jameson Taillon SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Washington Nationals: 38-56 SU / OU 46-45 / Runline 53-41
Chicago Cubs: 43-50 SU / OU 48-42 / Runline 48-45

For the season, the Nationals have put together a record of 38-56, including going just 4-6 over their last ten games. In the NL East standings, they are 5th, trailing by 24 games. This year, they have gone 15-32 at home and 23-24 on the road with an overall series mark of 10-19-2.

 

  • The Nationals have covered the runline in 56.4% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.9
  • The Nationals have been favored in 4.3% of their games and have runline records of 20-27 and 33-14 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 51% of the Nationals’ 94 games at 46-45.

Heading into their game vs. the Nationals, the Cubs have a record of 43-50 and have dropped two straight games. In the NL Central, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 13-13-4. At home, they have gone 22-25 and 21-25 on the road.

 

  • The Cubs have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
  • The Cubs have been favored in 48.4% of their games and have runline records of 23-24 and 25-21 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Cubs’ 93 games at 48-42.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Patrick Corbin 19 19 108 6-10 4.89 1.55 17

 

With an overall record of 6-10, Patrick Corbin gets the start for Washington. His ERA stands at 4.89 with a K/9 figure of 0.7 after making 19 appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.92 and an OBP of .332.

Corbin picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up one earned run and five hits across seven innings vs. the Rangers. The Nationals won the game by a score of 7-2.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Jameson Taillon 15 15 71 3-6 6.15 1.40 13

 

The Cubs will turn to starter Jameson Taillon who has an overall record of 3-6. After 15 appearances, his ERA is 6.15 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.9. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.93 and an OBP of .323.

Chicago is hoping that Jameson Taillon can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Yankees (3-0) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with zero earned runs on one hit across eight innings.

Nationals vs. Cubs Offense Outlook

The Nationals have played 94 games and have an average of 4.2 runs per game, which puts them 23rd in the league. Washington has hit 83 home runs (23rd). Their batting average comes in at .260, while hitting .250 on the road and .262 at home.

Washington Nationals Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Nationals 94 4.2 (23rd) 83 (23rd) .260 (5th) .317 (12th) .317 (12th)

 

Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
CJ Abrams .450 10 8 1 .750
Keibert Ruiz .521 7 4 2 1.167
Dominic Smith .233 4 3 1 .600
Alex Call .183 3 3 1 .383
Joey Meneses .197 4 1 1 .437

 

Chicago is currently ranked 12th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per game this season. Their home run count is around the league average, with 102 long balls hit so far. The Cubs’ current batting average of .247 places them 12th in the league, while they are 16th on the road compared to 15th at home.

Chicago Cubs Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Nico Hoerner .267 .318 .372 48 5 21
Ian Happ .245 .372 .387 41 8 7
Dansby Swanson .258 .343 .409 36 10 4

 

Chicago Cubs Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Cody Bellinger .367 7 6 3 .817
Patrick Wisdom .133 2 2 2 .533
Nico Hoerner .157 3 2 0 .290
Christopher Morel .307 6 2 0 .307
Seiya Suzuki .147 3 3 1 .347

 

Free MLB Pick

The Nats have owned the Cubs this season, taking four of the five games played. Included in that was a May 4th game with the same two starting pitchers, with Washington getting a 4-3 win as a +157 home dog. I’ll ride the visitor here and hope to cash in as a small dog. Take Washington +120.

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