Twins vs. Padres Best MLB Betting Picks – August 20th

by | Last updated Aug 20, 2024 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
Date: Tuesday, August 20th, 9:40 ET
Location: PETCO Park
TV: None
Money Line: Twins -113/Padres -105 (Bovada – Home of the BEST live betting platform!)
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Diego Padres and the Twins on Tuesday, August 20th at PETCO Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIN -113 -1.5 O 7.5 (-119)
SD -105 +1.5 U 7.5 (-102)

At 9:40 PM ET, the Twins and Padres face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are the slight money line favorite (-105). The money line odds for the Twins are sitting at -113, and they are 3rd in the AL Central compared to the Padres, who are 2nd in the NL West.

The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the forecast for Tuesday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s. Martín Pérez is slated to start for the Twins, while the Padres are going with a pitcher whose last name is not listed. Minnesota comes in with a record of 70-55, while the Padres are 71-55.

Twins vs. Padres Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Manuel Margot 1 LF
Willi Castro 2 SS
Royce Lewis 3 DH
Jose Miranda 4 3B
Carlos Santana 5 1B
Ryan Jeffers 6 C
Austin Martin 7 CF
Max Kepler 8 RF
Kyle Farmer 9 2B
Bailey Ober SP

 

Player Batting Order Position
Luis Arraez 1 DH
Jurickson Profar 2 LF
Jake Cronenworth 3 1B
Manny Machado 4 3B
Xander Bogaerts 5 2B
Jackson Merrill 6 CF
David Peralta 7 RF
Ha-Seong Kim 8 SS
Kyle Higashioka 9 C
Martín Pérez SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 70-55 SU / OU 64-57 / Runline 62-63
San Diego Padres: 71-55 SU / OU 67-58 / Runline 66-60

San Diego picked up a 5-3 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a two-run lead after the first inning and added three more runs in the 3rd. As for the Twins, they scored their first run in the 4th and added two more in the 9th.

Michael King started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. Zebby Matthews got the start for the Twins, going five innings and giving up two earned runs.

Jackson Merrill was the only Padres hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/4 with three RBIs. Christian Vazquez also had a two-hit game for San Diego. As for the Twins, Byron Buxton went 2/4 with an RBI.

Twins Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 70-55, the Twins are 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far this season, they have gone 28-17 in divisional games. The Twins have dropped two straight games, and this came after winning three in a row as the favorite.

Minnesota has been good at home, going 36-24, but they are just above .500 at 34-31 on the road. As the road favorite, the Twins have gone 26-12 this season, and their overall record as the favorite is 55-31. So far, they have gone 24-13-3 in series this year and have won two straight series.

Minnesota has been a solid bet on the run line this season, as they are 62-63 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 35-30. They have covered the run line in 41 of 86 games as the favorite, but have been even better as the underdog, going 21-18. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7, while it drops to -3.5 in losses.

The Minnesota Twins are on the road today, facing the San Diego Padres. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Twins have played 121 games this season, and the average combined run total in their games is 9.2. Their O/U record for the season is 64-57, and when the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 19-14. So far this season, 78 of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 62.4% of their games. Their current over streak is 2 games.

Padres Records & Recent Play

With an overall record of 71-55, the Padres are 2nd in the NL West, three games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. San Diego was able to take the first game of their series vs. the Twins, and they have an NL West division record of 20-20 this year.

At home, the Padres are 34-29 this season and have been really good on the road at 37-26. As the favorite, the Padres are 45-33 and 26-22 as the underdog. San Diego has won six straight games at home, and they are 25-14-3 in series this year. Looking at their overall record, the Padres have gone 7-3 over their last 10.

San Diego is 25-38 vs. the run line at home this season, but they have covered in three straight games at Petco Park. The Padres are 41-22 vs. the run line on the road this season, and they have an average run differential of +1.2 runs per game away from home.

Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs for the San Diego Padres-Minnesota Twins game is lower than the Padres’ season average of 8 runs per game. The Padres have played in 75 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 59.5% of their games this season.

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Pitching Matchup

Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 12-5 with a 3.49 ERA. Opponents have hit .205 off Ober this season, and his ERA on the road is 7.52 compared to 2.94 at home. Ober’s WHIP for the season is 1.00, and he is coming off a start in which he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.

Left-hander Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Twins at home. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .281 off Pérez this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.49. In his 19 starts, Pérez has turned in seven quality starts, and his ERA at home is 4.43 compared to 6.43 on the road. In his last outing, Pérez picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. He finished with eight strikeouts in that outing.

Twins vs. Padres Offense Outlook

Carlos Santana has been a bit cold for the Twins as of late, going just 3/20 over his last six games. However, he is still 2nd on the team with 18 homers and 55 RBIs. Ryan Jeffers has also been a key power source for the Twins, as he leads the team with 19 homers and 57 RBIs. Willi Castro has been a consistent hitter for the Twins, batting .256 for the season and is 7th on the team with 10 homers.

Minnesota’s offense has been good in terms of scoring runs this season, as they are 8th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, the Twins are 8th in home runs and have the league’s 6th best slugging percentage.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They are also the league’s top home run hitting team and are 11th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar and Manny Machado are the Padres’ top two home run hitters this season, with 19 homers apiece. Profar is also the team’s leading run producer, with 73 RBIs. Profar comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak, and over his last seven games, he has gone 7/23 with two homers.

Free Twins vs. Padres MLB Pick

On Tuesday, we have a good interleague matchup between the Twins and Padres. This was a big win for San Diego, as they are coming off a disappointing series loss to the Rockies. On the other side, the Twins need a win to try and catch the Guardians. For game two, I like Minnesota to pick up the win and am taking them on the money line.

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