Twins vs. Marlins Free Pick & Analysis 4/4/23

Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Tuesday, April 4th, 6:40 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: None
Money Line: Twins +122/Marlins -144
Total Line: 7

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Twins on Tuesday, April 4th at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

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Twins vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Nick Gordon	1	LF
Donovan Solano	2	SS
Carlos Correa	3	SS
Byron Buxton	4	CF
Joey Gallo	5	RF
Max Kepler	6	RF
Jose Miranda	7	1B
Michael A. Taylor	8	CF
Christian Vázquez	9	C
Kenta Maeda	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Luis Arraez	1	2B
Jean Segura	2	SS
Garrett Cooper	3	1B
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4	CF
Jorge Soler	5	RF
Avisaíl García	6	RF
Bryan De La Cruz	7	CF
Jacob Stallings	8	C
Joey Wendle	9	3B
Sandy Alcantara	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 4-0 SU / OU 2-2 / Runline 4-0
Miami Marlins: 1-4 SU / OU 2-3 / Runline 1-4

The Twins have started the season with four consecutive victories and will aim to preserve their perfect 5-0 record. Despite playing all of their games on the road, Minnesota is off to an excellent start.

The Twins’ over/under record comes in at 2-2 while their record against the runline sits at 4-0. Looking back to last season, they went 39-42 against the runline on the road.

After playing five games, Marlins have already hit a rough patch. Heading into the game, they have dropped three straight games, putting their record at 1-4. Up to this point, Miami has only played at home.

The Marlins had a poor record of 31-50 against the runline last season. Nonetheless, they are presently doing better with a 1-4 runline record and an over/under mark of 2-3.

Pitching Matchup

Last season, Hayden Wesneski appeared in six games for the Cubs, finishing with an overall record of 3-2 and an ERA of 2.18. His success last year can be attributed to his ability to limit batters’ power numbers, as he allowed a slugging percentage of just .322.




Sandy Alcantara finished last season with an overall record of 14-9 and an ERA of 2.28, having made 32 appearances for the Marlins. His success last year can be attributed to his ability to limit batters’ power numbers, as he allowed a slugging percentage of just .324.




Twins vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

Thus far this season, the Twins are averaging 5.5 runs per game, which ranks them 12th in the MLB. This has come on a batting average of .268 (10th) and OPS of .791, which ranks 10th in the league.

Minnesota Twins Top Bats




Early on, the Marlins are averaging 1.8 runs per contest. So far, they are in the middle of the pack in terms of batting average (.252). Miami currently has a team WOBA of .309, placing them 20th in the MLB.

Miami Marlins Top Bats




Free MLB Pick

The Miami Marlins have scored 2, 2, 1 and 1 runs so far this season in four games. There’s nothing there that shows us they’ll do any better at home vs. the Minnesota Twins Monday, a team that plays in the AL who they’re unfamiliar with. Furthermore, it’ll be Sandy Alcantara on the mound for Miami, who had a 1.64 ERA at home last season and 2.41 in 2021. I like runs to be at a premium and for the game to go UNDER 7 runs