Twins vs. Mariners MLB Betting Preview, Odds, and Predictions

Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins
Date: Wednesday, May 8th, 7:40 ET
Location: Target Field
TV: RSNW
Money Line: Mariners -118/Twins -103
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Minnesota Twins and the Mariners on Wednesday, May 8th at Target Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Wednesday night’s matchup between the Mariners and Twins is set to get started at 7:40 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The forecast looks good for tonight’s game, with clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Seattle comes in with a record of 20-16, while the Twins are 20-15.

Chris Paddack is starting for the Twins, and he is facing off against George Kirby for the Mariners. Currently, the over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Mariners are the slight favorite on the money line at -118.

Mariners vs. Twins Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Seattle Mariners: 20-16 SU / OU 9-25 / Runline 18-18
Minnesota Twins: 20-15 SU / OU 17-17 / Runline 18-17

Seattle cruised to a 10-6 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 1st inning, scoring eight of their ten runs. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Mariners were at +135 on the money line.

Emerson Hancock got the start for the Mariners, going just four innings while giving up four runs and striking out two. He did not factor into the decision as Ryne Stanek got the win out of the bullpen. Jorge Alcala took the loss for Minnesota out of the bullpen.

Cal Raleigh and Mitch Haniger each homered for the Mariners, while Ryan Jeffers hit a home run for the Twins. Raleigh, Haniger, and Dylan Moore each had two hits and two RBIs for Seattle’s offense.

Mariners Records & Recent Play

Seattle is 20-16 overall and trail the Rangers by just a half-game for the AL West lead. The Mariners will be on the road today, taking on the Twins. So far, they have gone 4-2 in divisional games this year.

The Mariners will be looking to get back on track today, as they have dropped two straight games. These two losses came after winning six straight games. So far, they are 11-8 at home and an even 9-8 on the road. Seattle has taken six straight series, and their overall series record is 6-4-1 this year.

Seattle has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 18-18 overall. They are 9-10 at home and 9-8 on the road. They are 8-11 on the run line as the favorite and 10-7 as the underdog. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.

The Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins have combined for an average of 7.1 runs per game this season, but the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners have played 18 games this season with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 9 of those games. Overall, the Mariners have an over/under record of 9-25 this season.

Twins Records & Recent Play

Minnesota will take on the Mariners today with an overall record of 20-15, which has them 3rd in the AL Central, 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Twins are 12-7 against other teams in the AL Central this year. Minnesota has won two straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10 games, which is tied for the best mark in the AL.

So far, the Twins have been really good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 17-7 in those games. As the underdog, the Twins are just 3-8 this year, but they have won two straight games as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 5-4-2, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road.

The Twins are 18-17 vs. the run line this season, with a +0.3 run margin on average. They are 7-10 vs. the run line at home, where they have a -0.2 run margin. On the road, they are 11-7 vs. the run line and have a +0.8 run margin. As the underdog, they are 5-6 vs. the run line, and they have covered in two straight games as the underdog.

Minnesota’s over/under record for the season is now 17-17 after their last game went over the total. The Twins and Mariners combined for 16 runs in their last game, which was played with an over/under line of 8.0 runs. The average over/under line for Twins games this season is 8.0 runs, and the average combined run total in their games is 8.9 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 3.76. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his 38 1/3 innings of work, he has issued just four walks compared to 36 strikeouts. Kirby has turned in four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Per nine innings, Kirby is averaging 9.63 strikeouts compared to just 0.94 walks.

Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today and has made six starts this season. He has a record of 3-1 and an ERA of 4.78. Paddack’s WHIP for the season is 1.47, and opponents are batting .292 this season. Paddack has turned in two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.59 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Paddack didn’t allow a run, picking up the win in six innings of work. Before that, he had allowed at least four earned runs in three straight outings. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 1.29 compared to 8.96 on the road.

Mariners vs. Twins Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Mariners offense has been a below-average unit, averaging just 3.8 runs per game (22nd). They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3.1 runs per contest. However, their team batting average of .222 is 20th in the league, and they are 7th in the league in home runs. Julio Rodriguez comes into the game with a batting average of .255 and has gone deep once this season.

Cal Raleigh and Mitch Haniger are tied for the team lead in RBIs, with 20 apiece. Haniger has five homers this season but is batting just .215, while Raleigh is hitting just .213. Haniger is also on a three-game hitting streak, but he is just 3/20 in his last five games.

Minnesota’s offense has been solid on the road this season, averaging 5.4 runs per game, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Overall, they are 12th in the league at 4.6 runs per contest. One thing to watch for is their home run production, as they are 11th in the league in home runs and have the 4th best isolated power figure in the league.

Carlos Santana and Edouard Julien are both tied for the team lead with seven home runs, but both are batting under .205 for the season. However, Ryan Jeffers has been a bright spot, as he is hitting .299 for the season and has gone deep seven times. Over his last eight games, Jeffers is 10/30 with two homers and 10 RBIs.

Free Mariners vs. Twins MLB Pick

With the Twins at -103 on the money line, this is the way we recommend playing this one, as we have them taking this one by a final score of 5-4. If you are looking to play the over/under, the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs, giving us some room on the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Paddack is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for seventh among starters. As for George Kirby, he is our 6th ranked strikeout pitcher of the day. However, we have Paddack finishing with a better line than Kirby in terms of runs allowed.