Twins vs. Dodgers Best Bet 5/16/23

Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Date: Tuesday, May 16th, 10:10 ET
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Twins +170/Dodgers -201
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Twins on Tuesday, May 16th at Dodger Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Twins vs. Dodgers Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Donovan Solano	1	SS
Carlos Correa	2	SS
Byron Buxton	3	DH
Kyle Farmer	4	SS
Ryan Jeffers	5	C
Jorge Polanco	6	2B
Willi Castro	7	SS
Trevor Larnach	8	RF
Michael A. Taylor	9	CF
Bailey Ober	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Mookie Betts	1	RF
Freddie Freeman	2	1B
Will Smith	3	C
J.D. Martinez	4	DH
Max Muncy	5	1B
David Peralta	6	LF
James Outman	7	CF
Miguel Vargas	8	3B
Chris Taylor	9	LF
Clayton Kershaw	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 23-19 SU / OU 18-20 / Runline 24-18
Los Angeles Dodgers: 27-15 SU / OU 22-19 / Runline 23-19

Currently, the Twins are first in the AL Central with a record of 23-19. Over their last ten games, Minnesota has gone .500 at 5-5. On the road, they have put together a record of 9-11 and are 14-8 at home. The clubs overall series record stands at 7-5.

• The Twins have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of 1.0.
• The Twins have been favored in 69.0% of their games and have runline records of 12-10 and 12-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 18-20.

The Dodgers take on the Twins in the middle of a six-game winning streak and are leading the NL West on an overall record of 27-15. So far, they are 11-9 on the road and 16-6 at home. Los Angeles’ overall series record stands at 8-4.

• The Dodgers have covered the runline in 54.8% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.4
• The Dodgers have been favored in 90.5% of their games and have runline records of 13-9 and 10-10 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 54% of the Dodgers’ 42 games at 22-19.

Pitching Matchup




The Twins will turn to starter Bailey Ober who has an overall record of 2-0. After four appearances, his ERA is 1.85 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.9. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.30 and an OBP of .237.

In his previous start, Bailey Ober gave the team a quality start, allowing three runs on six hits across six innings. Despite this, he did not factor into the decision in the Twins’ 5-3 win over the Padres.




The Dodgers will turn to starter Clayton Kershaw who has an overall record of 6-2. Through eight appearances his ERA stands at 2.36 with a K/9 figure of 1.1. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.54 to go along with an OBP of .249.

Kershaw picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up one earned run and five hits across seven innings vs. the Brewers. The Dodgers won the game by a score of 8-1.

Twins vs. Dodgers Offense Outlook

The Twins are proving to be one of the best home run hitting teams in baseball this season, having hit 57 home runs (6th). Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .229. The team’s slugging percentage is .343 on the road and .443 at home.

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters vs. Lefties




Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games




The Dodgers are making their mark in the power department with a total of 71 home runs (2nd). They are currently averaging 5.5 runs per game overall, with a collective batting average of .230. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .404 compared to .468 at home.

Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters vs. Righties




Los Angeles Dodgers Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

Road teams that lose in extra innings almost always get smoked the next day. The Twins will have the daunting task of facing Clayton Kershaw. The Twins bullpen got blown out as well, as both of their top relievers threw a full two innings. I’m laying the wood with the Dodgers!