Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction 7/22/23

by | Last updated Jul 22, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
Date: Saturday, July 22nd, 4:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: RSNW
Money Line: Blue Jays -134/Mariners +114 (Bet for less at BAS! Reduced odds are the shiznit!)
Total Line: 7

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Blue Jays on Saturday, July 22nd at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR -134 -1.5 O 7 (-122)
SEA +114 +1.5 U 7 (100)

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Brandon Belt 3 1B
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 4 1B
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Whit Merrifield 6 2B
Daulton Varsho 7 RF
Alejandro Kirk 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Kevin Gausman SP

 

Batting Order Position
J.P. Crawford 1 SS
Julio Rodríguez 2 CF
Eugenio Suárez 3 3B
Teoscar Hernández 4 RF
Cal Raleigh 5 C
Ty France 6 1B
AJ Pollock 7 LF
Mike Ford 8 1B
Kolten Wong 9 2B
Logan Gilbert SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 54-44 SU / OU 42-52 / Runline 44-54
Seattle Mariners: 49-48 SU / OU 48-48 / Runline 45-52

With an overall record of 54-44, the Blue Jays are in 3rd place in the AL East, trailing by 5.5 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Blue Jays have a mark of 27-24 while going 27-20 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 19-12.

 

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 72.4% of their games and have runline records of 20-27 and 24-27 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 42-52.

On a record of 49-48, the Mariners are 4th in the AL West. Currently, they are 8.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Blue Jays, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 21-24 while going 28-24 at home. Seattle’s overall series record is 13-16-2.

 

  • The Mariners have covered the runline in 46.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.3
  • The Mariners have been favored in 68.0% of their games and have runline records of 20-32 and 25-20 at home and on the road, respectively
  • Through 97 games, the over has hit in half of the Mariners’ games at 48-48.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Kevin Gausman 19 19 115 7-5 3.04 1.13 9

 

For the season, Kevin Gausman has an ERA of 3.04 across 19 outings. Heading into the game, his overall record stands at 7-5. Against the Mariners, he will look to extend his streak of not giving up a home-run to five games. So far, opponents have a SLG% of .345 against him and a batting average of .224.

The Blue Jays are looking for another good outing from Kevin Gausman, as he finished with a quality start in his last outing. Despite, Gausman tossing six innings and allowing just two runs, the Blue Jays still lost to the Tigers by a score of 2-0.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Logan Gilbert 19 19 113 8-5 3.65 1.01 13

 

Seattle is looking to Logan Gilbert to deliver yet another impressive performance, given he has earned a win in three consecutive games. So far he has an ERA of 3.65 and record of 8-5. Throughout the season, he has accumulated 111 strikeouts and has a batting average allowed of .219. In terms of slugging percentage, teams have SLG of .364 vs. Gilbert.

Gilbert picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up two earned runs and seven hits across five innings vs. the Twins. The Mariners won the game by a score of 7-6.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Offense Outlook

This season, Toronto has been scoring an average of 4.4 runs per game, ranking them 15th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have hit 108 long balls, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their batting average of .260 ranks 5th in the league. On the road, the Blue Jays are 8th in batting average, compared to 8th at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bo Bichette .312 13 .479 .338
George Springer .278 11 .437 .305
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .264 15 .466 .309
Whit Merrifield .296 5 .412 .305
Matt Chapman .241 9 .432 .284

 

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Alejandro Kirk .333 3 1 1 .667
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .188 2 1 1 .562
Danny Jansen .111 1 1 1 .444
Matt Chapman .208 2 0 0 .208
Bo Bichette .292 4 0 0 .292

 

With 97 games under their belt, the Mariners are currently 16th in the league, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Seattle’s home run ranking is 12th, with the team having hit 110 long balls. The team’s batting average, including .226 on the road and .227 at home, is .231.

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Julio Rodríguez .242 10 .397 .272
Teoscar Hernández .226 10 .380 .257
J.P. Crawford .283 8 .452 .313
Eugenio Suárez .230 13 .417 .274
Ty France .227 5 .338 .242

 

Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Eugenio Suárez .390 7 4 3 .957
Teoscar Hernández .320 7 2 1 .520
Mike Ford .350 4 2 1 .550
Ty France .183 3 2 0 .300
Jarred Kelenic .250 4 3 0 .250

 

Free MLB Pick

Toronto starter Kevin Gausman moved down the Mariners in his last start against them, fanning 13 batters over seven shutout innings. The Jays’ offensive shortcomings in recent games (four runs in last four games) and Logan Gilbert’s current form have me betting on the Under 7. Bet your baseball picks for FREE this week by scoring a 75% bonus when you use bitcoin to deposit at Bovada Sportsbook!

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