Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Value Play

by | Last updated Sep 19, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Date: Tuesday, September 19th, 7:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: YES
Money Line: Blue Jays -114/Yankees -106
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Blue Jays on Tuesday, September 19th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR -114 -1.5 O 8.5 (-111)
NYY -106 +1.5 U 8.5 (-110)

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 RF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 DH
Davis Schneider 4 2B
Spencer Horwitz 5 1B
Matt Chapman 6 3B
Daulton Varsho 7 LF
Alejandro Kirk 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Yusei Kikuchi SP


Batting Order Position
DJ LeMahieu 1 1B
Aaron Judge 2 RF
Gleyber Torres 3 2B
Giancarlo Stanton 4 DH
Anthony Volpe 5 SS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 6 CF
Everson Pereira 7 LF
Kyle Higashioka 8 C
Oswald Peraza 9 3B
Clarke Schmidt SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 83-67 SU / OU 64-81 / Runline 67-83
New York Yankees: 76-74 SU / OU 67-75 / Runline 73-77

On a record of 83-67, the Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 11 games out of the division lead. Against the Yankees, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 42-33 while going 41-34 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 26-18-2.

  • The Blue Jays have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 76.0% of their games and have runline records of 31-44 and 36-39 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 64-81.

With an overall record of 76-74, the Yankees are in 4th place in the AL East, trailing by 18 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Yankees have a mark of 37-38 while going 39-36 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 20-20-7.

  • The Yankees have covered the runline in 48.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.1
  • The Yankees have been favored in 62.0% of their games and have runline records of 32-43 and 41-34 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 67-75.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Yusei Kikuchi 29 29 153 9-6 3.81 1.25 26


Starter Yusei Kikuchi comes in with an overall record of 9-6 for the Blue Jays. Having made 29 appearances, his ERA is 3.81 and he has a K/9 figure of 9.55. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.29 and an OBP of .298.

Toronto lost the last time Kikuchi pitched, falling to the Rangers by a final score of 10-0. In the game, Kikuchi went five innings and allowed six earned runs on five hits.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Clarke Schmidt 30 29 146 9-8 4.56 1.34 21


The Yankees will turn to starter Clarke Schmidt who has an overall record of 9-8. Through 30 appearances his ERA stands at 4.56 with a K/9 figure of 8.75. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.23 to go along with an OBP of .314.

In his last appearance against the Red Sox, Clarke Schmidt gave up four runs on seven hits while pitching 5 1/3 innings. Despite not factoring into the decision, Schmidt helped the Yankees secure a 8-5 victory.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

The Blue Jays have played 150 games and are ranked 15th in the league with 4.5 runs per game. Toronto ranks 13th in home runs, having gone deep 172 times. Their average is .257, including .257 on the road and .244 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .267 .344 .443 90 24 5
George Springer .256 .328 .400 64 19 19
Whit Merrifield .278 .321 .390 63 11 25


Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .417 6 4 3 1.042
Daulton Varsho .291 3 3 1 .791
Bo Bichette .217 3 2 0 .300
Cavan Biggio .375 3 3 0 .375
Matt Chapman .125 2 0 0 .312


So far this season, the Yankees are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, having hit a total of 208 home runs (6th). Overall, New York is averaging 4.2 runs per contest and have a collective batting average of .226. At home, the Yankees have a slugging percentage of .371 compared to .406 at home.

New York Yankees Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Gleyber Torres .272 8 .544 .385
Anthony Volpe .248 5 .486 .353
Anthony Rizzo .338 1 .429 .370
DJ LeMahieu .258 4 .416 .336
Giancarlo Stanton .277 7 .646 .404


New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Aaron Judge .220 4 3 1 .520
Oswaldo Cabrera .350 6 3 1 .500
Anthony Volpe .210 5 4 1 .440
DJ LeMahieu .375 7 3 0 .488
Estevan Florial .250 4 3 0 .250


Free MLB Pick

Take the Jays -110

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