Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick & Predictions

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Tuesday, June 11th, 8:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: None
Money Line: Blue Jays -117/Brewers -103
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Blue Jays on Tuesday, June 11th at American Family Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

The Blue Jays and Brewers are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -103 compared to the Blue Jays at -117. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Toronto will be looking for a win and move above .500, as they are 32-34 and are 4th in the AL East. The Brewers are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 39-27.

Blue Jays vs. Brewers Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 32-34 SU / OU 29-36 / Runline 30-36
Milwaukee Brewers: 39-27 SU / OU 37-28 / Runline 35-31

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs Blue Jays series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight favorites at -122 and squeaked out a 3-1 win. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Blue Jays and struck out eight times, but still picked up a win.

Toronto wasted a good outing from Jose Berrios, as he gave up just three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Berrios did serve up two homers in the game. As for the Brewers, they got a good performance from Colin Rea, who gave up just one earned run across seven innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two homers came from Willy Adames and Jackson Chourio. Adames, Chourio, and Alejandro Kirk were the only three players in the game to have more than one hit.

Blue Jays Records & Recent Play

Toronto is 32-34 overall and trails the Yankees by 14 games in the AL East. So far, they are 9-10 in AL East games and lost the series opener vs. the Brewers. The Blue Jays come into today’s game at home.

At home, the Blue Jays are 16-15 this year and 16-19 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 26-17 and 6-17 as the underdog. They have won two straight games as the favorite. Currently, the Blue Jays’ overall series record is 8-9-4 this year.

When the Blue Jays win, they tend to do so by a wide margin, with an average run differential of +3.2 runs per game. That’s a stark contrast to their average run differential in losses, which is -4.1 runs per game. Overall, Toronto is 30-36 against the run line this season, but they have been better on the road, going 19-16. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 21-22 against the run line as the favorite.

The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 29-36 this season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 7-13. Only 9.1% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Brewers Records & Recent Play

Milwaukee is 39-27 overall this year, and they lead the NL Central by seven games over the Reds. The Brewers are currently on a six-game winning streak at home, and they are 19-10 at home this year. Milwaukee has also been good on the road, going 20-17 this year.

When favored, the Brewers are 20-12 this year, and they are 19-15 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 16-8 against other teams in the NL Central. The Brewers took the first game of this series vs. the Blue Jays and are 12-7-2 in series this year. Over their last 10 games, the Brewers are 6-4.

When the Brewers win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game. They have a run line record of 35-31 on the year, but they are just 14-15 against the run line at home. As an underdog, they are 23-11 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.0 runs per game.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-28. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 18-12. Overall, 12.1% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs, with the majority of their games having lower over/under lines.

Pitching Matchup

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.48 ERA. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on four hits. Looking back over his last four starts, Kikuchi has alternated between wins and losses. Opponents are batting .259 off Kikuchi this season, and he has allowed a total of seven home runs.

The Brewers will be sending Carlos F. Rodriguez to the mound today against the Blue Jays. He’s eager to kick off his season with a solid performance, marking his debut for the year.

Blue Jays vs. Brewers Offense Outlook

The Blue Jays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game this season, which is 25th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .232, which is 15th in the league, but their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS are all below the league average.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a team-high 30 RBIs and is batting .287 for the season. However, he is just 6/27 in his last seven games. Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider are tied for the team lead with seven home runs, but Varsho is batting just .218 for the season, and Schneider is hitting .225. Varsho does come into the game on a three-game hitting streak.

William Contreras has been a nice surprise for the Brewers this season, as he is batting .308, which is the 2nd-best mark on the team. He has also been on a nice run of late, as he is on a five-game hitting streak and has gone deep eight times this season. Rhys Hoskins and Willy Adames are tied for the team lead with 10 homers, but both have struggled of late, with Hoskins batting just .174 over his last seven games and Adames at .130.

As a team, the Brewers are 6th in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and are batting .256, which is the 3rd best mark in the majors.

Free Blue Jays vs. Brewers MLB Pick

The Brewers have had some luck with rookie pitchers this season, but it’s tough to count on this continuing. Look for a short start from Carlos Rodriguez, as the Blue Jays should get to the young pitcher early. I like Toronto on the money line tonight.