Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick 7/7/23
Date: Friday, July 7th, 6:40 ET
Location: Comerica Park
TV: BSDET
Money Line: Blue Jays -142/Tigers +119
Total Line: 9
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Detroit Tigers and the Blue Jays on Friday, July 7th at Comerica Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
TOR | -142 | -1.5 | O 9 (-117) |
DET | +119 | +1.5 | U 9 (-104) |
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
George Springer | 1 | CF |
Bo Bichette | 2 | SS |
Brandon Belt | 3 | 1B |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 4 | 1B |
Matt Chapman | 5 | 3B |
Daulton Varsho | 6 | RF |
Whit Merrifield | 7 | 2B |
Danny Jansen | 8 | C |
Kevin Kiermaier | 9 | CF |
Alek Manoah | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Zach McKinstry | 1 | 2B |
Spencer Torkelson | 2 | 1B |
Kerry Carpenter | 3 | RF |
Javier Báez | 4 | SS |
Eric Haase | 5 | C |
Andy Ibáñez | 6 | 3B |
Miguel Cabrera | 7 | DH |
Matt Vierling | 8 | CF |
Jake Marisnick | 9 | CF |
Alex Faedo | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Toronto Blue Jays: 48-40 SU / OU 39-46 / Runline 38-50
Detroit Tigers: 38-48 SU / OU 47-36 / Runline 46-40
On a record of 48-40, the Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Against the Tigers, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 25-22 while going 23-18 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 16-11.
- The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 43.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.3
- The Blue Jays have been favored in 72.7% of their games and have runline records of 16-25 and 22-25 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 39-46.
So far this season, the Tigers have an overall record of 38-48, putting them 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they are six games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 19-25 and 19-23 at home. The team’s series record is 12-13-3.
- The Tigers have covered the runline in 53.5% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.9
- The Tigers have been favored in 15.1% of their games and have runline records of 21-21 and 25-19 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 57% of the Tigers’ 86 games at 47-36.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alek Manoah | 13 | 13 | 58 | 1-7 | 6.36 | 1.90 | 11 |
Across his 13 outings, Alek Manoah has a record of 1-7 and ERA of 6.36. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last two appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.90 with an OBP allowed of .389. Manoah’s strikeout to walk ratio is 48/42.
Alek Manoah will look to bounce back from a short outing against the Astros. In the Blue Jays’ 11-4 loss, Manoah gave up six runs in one-third innings of work.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Faedo | 5 | 5 | 26 | 1-3 | 5.54 | .92 | 6 |
Detroit starter Alex Faedo enters with an overall record of 1-3 and ERA of 5.54. His ERA on the road is 4.63 and 6.65 when pitching at home. Faedo’s season-long WHIP comes in at .92 with a batting average allowed of .220. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .450 against him.
Detroit lost the last time Faedo pitched, falling to the Rangers by a final score of 10-6. In the game, Faedo went 4 1/3 innings and allowed six earned runs on seven hits.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Offense Outlook
The Blue Jays have played 88 games so far this season and are currently ranked 15th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Toronto is 14th, having hit the ball out of the park 99 times. Their overall batting average is .261, including .256 on the road and .254 at home.
Toronto Blue Jays Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bo Bichette | .320 | .348 | .503 | 52 | 15 | 3 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | .278 | .348 | .453 | 57 | 13 | 4 |
George Springer | .267 | .327 | .411 | 36 | 12 | 13 |
Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Whit Merrifield | .333 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .917 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | .367 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .683 |
Matt Chapman | .233 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .567 |
Bo Bichette | .400 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .400 |
Cavan Biggio | .233 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .300 |
Through 87 games the Tigers are 26th in the league at 3.9 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Detroit is 19th having gone deep 81 times. Their batting average leading up to today’s game is .231, including .215 on the road and .230 at home.
Detroit Tigers Top Bats
BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spencer Torkelson | .225 | .309 | .400 | 42 | 12 | 2 |
Javier Báez | .226 | .262 | .334 | 44 | 6 | 6 |
Zach McKinstry | .250 | .332 | .377 | 22 | 6 | 11 |
Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Marisnick | .167 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .500 |
Javier Báez | .333 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .444 |
Matt Vierling | .250 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .250 |
Jonathan Schoop | .444 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .778 |
Spencer Torkelson | .167 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .333 |
Free MLB Pick
It’s going to be tough for most of our readers to jump on board here, because we’re backing the Tigers today. The variables are so beautiful though! The Blue Jays are coming off a double header (with travel) and are throwing Alek Manoah, who has had some form of the yips (performance anxiety) that has caused him to have one of the worst seasons for a pitcher in many moons. He even got beat up in a low minor league game when he got sent down.
The Tigers have won three of their last five games and have had the luxury of being at home for three or four days. I think the Detroit Tigers are a live-barking-dog at +121 today!
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