Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick 7/7/23

by | Last updated Jul 7, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers
Date: Friday, July 7th, 6:40 ET
Location: Comerica Park
TV: BSDET
Money Line: Blue Jays -142/Tigers +119
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Detroit Tigers and the Blue Jays on Friday, July 7th at Comerica Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR -142 -1.5 O 9 (-117)
DET +119 +1.5 U 9 (-104)

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Brandon Belt 3 1B
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 4 1B
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Daulton Varsho 6 RF
Whit Merrifield 7 2B
Danny Jansen 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Alek Manoah SP


Batting Order Position
Zach McKinstry 1 2B
Spencer Torkelson 2 1B
Kerry Carpenter 3 RF
Javier Báez 4 SS
Eric Haase 5 C
Andy Ibáñez 6 3B
Miguel Cabrera 7 DH
Matt Vierling 8 CF
Jake Marisnick 9 CF
Alex Faedo SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 48-40 SU / OU 39-46 / Runline 38-50
Detroit Tigers: 38-48 SU / OU 47-36 / Runline 46-40

On a record of 48-40, the Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Against the Tigers, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 25-22 while going 23-18 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 16-11.

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 43.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.3
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 72.7% of their games and have runline records of 16-25 and 22-25 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 39-46.

So far this season, the Tigers have an overall record of 38-48, putting them 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they are six games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 19-25 and 19-23 at home. The team’s series record is 12-13-3.

  • The Tigers have covered the runline in 53.5% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.9
  • The Tigers have been favored in 15.1% of their games and have runline records of 21-21 and 25-19 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 57% of the Tigers’ 86 games at 47-36.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Alek Manoah 13 13 58 1-7 6.36 1.90 11


Across his 13 outings, Alek Manoah has a record of 1-7 and ERA of 6.36. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last two appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.90 with an OBP allowed of .389. Manoah’s strikeout to walk ratio is 48/42.

Alek Manoah will look to bounce back from a short outing against the Astros. In the Blue Jays’ 11-4 loss, Manoah gave up six runs in one-third innings of work.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Alex Faedo 5 5 26 1-3 5.54 .92 6


Detroit starter Alex Faedo enters with an overall record of 1-3 and ERA of 5.54. His ERA on the road is 4.63 and 6.65 when pitching at home. Faedo’s season-long WHIP comes in at .92 with a batting average allowed of .220. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .450 against him.

Detroit lost the last time Faedo pitched, falling to the Rangers by a final score of 10-6. In the game, Faedo went 4 1/3 innings and allowed six earned runs on seven hits.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Offense Outlook

The Blue Jays have played 88 games so far this season and are currently ranked 15th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Toronto is 14th, having hit the ball out of the park 99 times. Their overall batting average is .261, including .256 on the road and .254 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Bo Bichette .320 .348 .503 52 15 3
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .278 .348 .453 57 13 4
George Springer .267 .327 .411 36 12 13


Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Whit Merrifield .333 4 2 2 .917
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .367 5 3 1 .683
Matt Chapman .233 3 2 1 .567
Bo Bichette .400 6 2 0 .400
Cavan Biggio .233 3 2 0 .300


Through 87 games the Tigers are 26th in the league at 3.9 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Detroit is 19th having gone deep 81 times. Their batting average leading up to today’s game is .231, including .215 on the road and .230 at home.

Detroit Tigers Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Spencer Torkelson .225 .309 .400 42 12 2
Javier Báez .226 .262 .334 44 6 6
Zach McKinstry .250 .332 .377 22 6 11


Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jake Marisnick .167 2 2 1 .500
Javier Báez .333 3 2 0 .444
Matt Vierling .250 3 1 0 .250
Jonathan Schoop .444 2 1 0 .778
Spencer Torkelson .167 2 2 0 .333


Free MLB Pick

It’s going to be tough for most of our readers to jump on board here, because we’re backing the Tigers today. The variables are so beautiful though! The Blue Jays are coming off a double header (with travel) and are throwing Alek Manoah, who has had some form of the yips (performance anxiety) that has caused him to have one of the worst seasons for a pitcher in many moons. He even got beat up in a low minor league game when he got sent down.

The Tigers have won three of their last five games and have had the luxury of being at home for three or four days. I think the Detroit Tigers are a live-barking-dog at +121 today!

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