Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians Total Pick

by | Last updated Aug 7, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians
Date: Monday, August 7th, 7:10 ET
Location: Progressive Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Blue Jays -130/Guardians +111 (Bet for less at BAS!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cleveland Guardians and the Blue Jays on Monday, August 7th at Progressive Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR -130 -1.5 O 9 (-103)
CLE +111 +1.5 U 9 (-119)

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Whit Merrifield 1 2B
Brandon Belt 2 DH
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
George Springer 4 RF
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Daulton Varsho 6 LF
Paul DeJong 7 SS
Danny Jansen 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Hyun Jin Ryu SP

 

Batting Order Position
Steven Kwan 1 LF
Andrés Giménez 2 2B
José Ramírez 3 3B
Oscar Gonzalez 4 DH
David Fry 5 1B
Will Brennan 6 RF
Brayan Rocchio 7 SS
Myles Straw 8 CF
Cam Gallagher 9 C
Gavin Williams SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 63-50 SU / OU 46-63 / Runline 53-60
Cleveland Guardians: 54-58 SU / OU 48-61 / Runline 55-57

On a record of 63-50, the Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 7.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Guardians, they will be seeking their 4th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 33-26 while going 30-24 at home. Toronto’s overall series record is 21-14.

 

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 46.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 70.8% of their games and have runline records of 23-31 and 30-29 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 46-63.

Heading into their game vs. the Blue Jays, the Guardians have a record of 54-58 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL Central, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 16-17-2. At home, they have gone 29-26 and 25-32 on the road.

 

  • The Guardians have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.0.
  • The Guardians have been favored in 56.2% of their games and have runline records of 26-29 and 29-28 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 48-61.

Pitching Matchup

Ryu is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs and nine hits in five innings of action. Toronto lost the game by a score of 13-3 to the Orioles.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Gavin Williams 8 8 42 1-3 3.38 1.34 4

Gavin Williams heads into the game with an overall record of 1-3 and an ERA of 3.38. In his three appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 2.40 and record of 0-2. At home, he has put together a mark of 1-1 and ERA of 3.81. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.34, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .229. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .369.

Having allowed two runs on four hits in five innings against the Astros, Gavin Williams is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Guardians.

Blue Jays vs. Guardians Offense Outlook

The Blue Jays have played 113 games so far this season and are currently ranked 13th in the league with an average of 4.6 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Toronto is 11th, having hit the ball out of the park 133 times. Their overall batting average is .261, including .259 on the road and .250 at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bo Bichette .312 13 .473 .350
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .259 17 .460 .336
George Springer .262 11 .403 .319
Whit Merrifield .294 8 .419 .334
Matt Chapman .238 11 .428 .333

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Davis Schneider .733 9 3 2 1.133
George Springer .413 8 5 0 .560
Brandon Belt .417 6 6 1 .750
Matt Chapman .240 5 2 1 .490
Daulton Varsho .383 4 2 1 .983

On offense, Cleveland is 24th in the league with an average of 4.1 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 24th, having hit 84 homers. Their overall batting average is .251, including .242 on the road and .248 at home.

Cleveland Guardians Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Guardians 112 4.1 (24th) 84 (24th) .251 (12th) .314 (17th) .314 (17th)

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Andrés Giménez .312 5 3 1 .688
José Ramírez .250 3 0 0 .333
Gabriel Arias .167 2 1 1 .500
Oscar Gonzalez .396 6 2 0 .521
Steven Kwan .196 3 1 0 .196

Free MLB Pick

The Jays send out Hyun Jin Ryu to make his second start of the season. He wasn’t horrible in his opener but certainly wasn’t in top form, going five innings and allowing four runs on nine hits. He has limited experience against the Guardians roster, with only three batters facing him in the pros, but they fared well with a .368 batting average over 19 at-bats. Cleveland is going with rookie Gavin Williams who has looked okay overall but has struggled at home with a 4.21 ERA. He’ll face a Toronto team who are coming off a three-game sweep of the Red Sox, where they scored 25 runs. Take the Over 8.5 -115.

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