Toronto at NY Yankees Top Play 4/21/23

by | Last updated Apr 21, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Date: Friday, April 21st, 7:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: APLTV
Money Line: Blue Jays +116/Yankees -136 (Favorites cost less and underdogs pay more at BAS!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Blue Jays on Friday, April 21st at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
+116 +1.5 O 8.5 (-101)
-136 -1.5 U 8.5 (-120)

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Daulton Varsho 4 RF
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Brandon Belt 6 1B
Alejandro Kirk 7 C
Cavan Biggio 8 2B
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Yusei Kikuchi SP

 

Batting Order Position
DJ LeMahieu 1 3B
Aaron Judge 2 RF
Anthony Rizzo 3 1B
Gleyber Torres 4 2B
Oswald Peraza 5 SS
Oswaldo Cabrera 6 RF
Aaron Hicks 7 CF
Kyle Higashioka 8 C
Anthony Volpe 9 SS
Domingo Germán SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 11-8 SU / OU 9-8 / Runline 9-10
New York Yankees: 12-7 SU / OU 7-12 / Runline 11-8

Heading into today’s action, the Blue Jays’ record of 11-8 has them sitting 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are five games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 7-6 and 4-2, respectively. Toronto’s overall series record sits at 4-1.

 

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 47.4% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.6
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 63.2% of their games and have runline records of 3-3 and 6-7 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Blue Jays’ 19 games at 9-8.

On a record of 12-7, the Yankees are 2nd in the AL East. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Against the Blue Jays, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 4-2 while going 8-5 at home. New York’s overall series record is 4-0.

 

  • The Yankees have covered the runline in 57.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.5
  • The Yankees have been favored in 94.7% of their games and have runline records of 7-6 and 4-2 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 7-12.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Yusei Kikuchi 3 3 15 2-0 4.70 1.24 5

The Blue Jays will turn to starter Yusei Kikuchi who has an overall record of 2-0. Through three appearances his ERA stands at 4.70 with a K/9 figure of 1.1. So far, he has put together of FIP of 5.95 to go along with an OBP of .302.

Yusei Kikuchi earned a win and a quality start in his previous game, leading his team to a 5-2 win over the Rays. He allowed one run and four hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Domingo Germán 3 3 14 1-1 3.86 1.00 2

Starter Domingo Germán comes in with an overall record of 1-1 for the Yankees. Having made three appearances, his ERA is 3.86 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.4. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.55 and an OBP of .246.

Domingo Germán finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Yankees took down the Twins by final score of 6-1. Germán gave up one run and three hits across 6 1/3 innings.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

This season, Toronto is 16th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.6 runs per game. Currently, they have hit 20 home runs, placing them 16th. In terms of batting average, Toronto is 8th in the league. On the road, their BA of .257 is 5th, compared to 9th (.256) when playing at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bo Bichette .368 3 .579 .425
Matt Chapman .349 3 .698 .476
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .288 3 .462 .364
George Springer .226 2 .340 .271
Kevin Kiermaier .306 1 .500 .355

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Matt Chapman .217 4 3 2 .567
Whit Merrifield .383 7 2 0 .550
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .183 3 1 1 .333
Santiago Espinal .267 2 2 1 .867
Alejandro Kirk .317 4 1 0 .317

The Yankees come into the game ranked 15th in the league on an average of 4.6 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, New York is 4th, having hit the ball out of the park 27 times. Their overall batting average stands at .232. On the road, they are hitting .251 while .220 at home.

New York Yankees Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Gleyber Torres .333 0 .333 .463
Giancarlo Stanton .222 0 .333 .240
Anthony Rizzo .222 0 .333 .327
Anthony Volpe .182 0 .364 .300
Jose Trevino .400 1 1.000 .588

New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Anthony Volpe .250 4 3 0 .250
Aaron Judge .217 3 5 1 .517
Anthony Rizzo .433 7 3 1 .633
DJ LeMahieu .217 4 4 1 .433
Jose Trevino .167 3 0 0 .267

Free MLB Pick

I believe that focusing on the total is the right approach for this game. Both offenses have struggled to generate runs lately, with the Blue Jays scoring a total of eight runs in their last four games. Meanwhile, the Yankees have also had difficulty scoring, putting up three or fewer runs in five of their last seven games.

For this matchup, Yusei Kikuchi will be taking the mound for Toronto in his fourth start of the season. Although he struggled against the Angels, he performed well in his other two starts, giving up only two earned runs, both on home runs and striking out 11 batters in 11 innings of work. Kikuchi has a history of success against the Yankees, allowing three or fewer runs in his last five starts against them, and they’re currently hitting below .200 versus lefthanded pitching this season.

On the other side, Domingo German will be pitching for New York. After a couple of shaky starts, he put on an impressive display against the Twins, allowing just one earned run over 6 1/3 innings on three hits, striking out 11, and walking none. German has faced Toronto four times in his career, and although he has registered only one quality start, he has managed to limit them to three or fewer earned runs in each appearance. Take the Under 9. Bet your baseball picks for FREE this weekend by scoring a massive 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!

MLB Betting Guide

New to betting on baseball? We've got you covered! Our comprehensive how to bet on baseball article explains all the different types of wagers offered at the sportsbooks including money lines, over/unders, run lines, parlays and more! Also get tips and strategies to increase your odds of beating the bookies!