Today’s Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Picks

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Date: Thursday, June 6th, 7:10 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: MARQ
Money Line: Cubs +104/Reds -126 (Bet smart! Risk less on favs and get paid more on dogs at BAS!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Cubs on Thursday, June 6th at Great American Ball Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

The Reds host the Cubs today at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak. However, they are the slight money line favorite, with the Cubs coming in at +104. Chicago’s overall record is 31-31, and they are 2nd in the NL Central. The Reds are 5th in the division, with a record of 29-33.

Thursday’s forecast in Cincinnati calls for light rain and temperatures in the upper 70s. Javier Assad is slated to start for the Cubs, and he will be facing off against Hunter Greene. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the game can be seen on MARQ.

Cubs vs. Reds Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Chicago Cubs: 31-31 SU / OU 29-30 / Runline 30-32
Cincinnati Reds: 29-33 SU / OU 29-30 / Runline 34-28

Cubs Records & Recent Play

Heading into their last game vs. the White Sox, the Cubs closed out the series with a 7-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -200. Things got tense at the end, as the White Sox pulled to within one run in the 8th, but the Cubs were able to close things out and pick up the win.

Jameson Taillon had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on 10 hits and issuing a walk. Mike Tauchman hit a homer for the Cubs but went just 2/4. The Cubs scored their seven runs on eight hits and only had one home run.

Chicago is at an even 31-31 this season, and they are five games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cubs will be on the road today to take on the Reds, and they have won two straight games. In the NL Central, the Cubs are 7-12 this season.

At home, the Cubs have gone 18-13 compared to 13-18 on the road. As the underdog, the Cubs are 16-18 this season, and they are 15-13 when favored. Chicago’s overall series record is 8-10-2, and they closed out their series vs. the White Sox with two straight wins. Currently, they are just 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When the Cubs are on the road, they have a run line record of 18-13, with an average run margin of -0.8 runs per game. They have been the underdog in 34 games this season and have covered the run line in 23 of those contests.

The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the Cincinnati Reds, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Cubs have an over/under record of 29-30 this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 3-4-2. The over has hit in two straight games for the Cubs.

Reds Records & Recent Play

The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with a 12-7 win. After allowing four runs to the Rockies in the bottom of the first, the Reds responded with two runs of their own. Cincinnati went on to add another two runs in the 3rd inning and another six runs in the 4th.

Starting for the Reds was Graham Ashcraft, who picked up the win. He only lasted 3 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Offensively, the Reds scored their 12 runs on 12 hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Cincinnati is 29-33 overall and is 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by seven games. The Reds are coming off a four-game winning streak, and this came after sweeping the Rockies in a three-game series. Their division record is 4-5 this year.

At home, the Reds are 14-17 this season and 15-16 on the road. So far, they have been favored in 26 games, going 14-12 in those contests. As the underdog, the Reds are 15-21 this season. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 7-12-1, and they have won two straight series overall and two straight series on the road.

When betting the Reds on the run line, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road this season, where they are 21-10. Overall, they are 34-28 on the run line, with an average run margin of 0.2. They are 13-18 on the run line at home, where they have a run differential of -0.5 runs per game.

The Cincinnati Reds have played in 61 games so far this season, with 20 of those games having an over/under line set at over 9 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 29-30, and their average combined run average is 8.6 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 1-8-2. Today’s over/under line for their game against the Chicago Cubs is set at 9 runs.

Pitching Matchup

Javier Assad gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 2.27. So far, Assad has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.67 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Overall, he has allowed six homers this season.

Hunter Greene is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, as he finished with a no-decision in that June 1st start. In that outing, he gave up five earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Greene has made 12 starts and has a record of 3-2. His ERA for the season is 3.44, along with a WHIP of 1.16. Opponents are batting .203 off Greene this season. One positive note is that he has a complete game and five quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Greene is averaging 9.68 strikeouts and 3.82 walks.

Cubs vs. Reds Offense Outlook

Over his last seven games, Christopher Morel has gone 6/24 with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .203, but his 11 homers are 9th in the league. Cody Bellinger and Michael Busch are tied for 2nd on the Cubs with eight homers apiece, with Bellinger’s 29 RBIs being the 2nd most on the team.

As a team, the Cubs are batting just .228, which is 20th in the league. However, they are 14th in scoring at 4.4 runs per game. This is also where they are at home and on the road. Chicago comes into the game with a team on-base percentage of .310, which is 14th in the league.

Jeimer Candelario has been on a tear of late for the Reds, going 11/36 (.306) over his last eight games, with two homers and five RBIs. Candelario also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. Spencer Steer has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/33 in his last eight games. Steer has one home run and five RBIs in this stretch.

Spencer Steer and Elly De La Cruz are both on three-game hitting streaks, with Tyler Stephenson leading the team with a six-game streak. Steer and De La Cruz are the Reds’ top two home run hitters, with Steer’s seven homers leading the team and De La Cruz right behind him with 10. Steer also leads the team with 40 RBIs, which is 9th best in the league.

Free Cubs vs. Reds MLB Pick

A two-game set vs. the White Sox was exactly what the Cubs needed to get a little momentum after they went through an extended stretch of bad play. Just a week ago, the Cubs were right in the mix for the NL Central Division lead, now they are five games out. Today, they are facing Hunter Greene for the Reds, who they just faced on June 1st, and put up five runs against him. I’m taking the Cubs on the money line for today’s matchup.

Note: It’s mind blowing to see baseball bettors betting into 20-cent lines! Most players aren’t even aware of how odds work, which is just what the bookies want. Get educated! Bet smart! Be sure you’re betting into cheaper lines. All that risked loot matters! It adds up over time! Make sure you’re betting at a sportsbook that offers MLB dime lines!