Tigers vs. Phillies Moneyline Pick

by | Last updated Jun 8, 2023 | mlb

Detroit Tigers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Monday, June 5th, 6:40 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NSPPH
Money Line: Tigers +199/Phillies -240
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Tigers on Monday, June 5th at Citizens Bank Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
DET +199 +1.5 O 8.5 (-118)
PHI -240 -1.5 U 8.5 (-103)

Tigers vs. Phillies Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Zach McKinstry 1 2B
Akil Baddoo 2 LF
Javier Báez 3 SS
Spencer Torkelson 4 1B
Nick Maton 5 3B
Andy Ibáñez 6 3B
Eric Haase 7 C
Jake Marisnick 8 CF
Zack Short 9 SS
Joey Wentz SP


Batting Order Position
Bryson Stott 1 2B
Trea Turner 2 SS
Bryce Harper 3 DH
Nick Castellanos 4 RF
Kyle Schwarber 5 LF
J.T. Realmuto 6 C
Kody Clemens 7 3B
Brandon Marsh 8 CF
Edmundo Sosa 9 SS
Aaron Nola SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Detroit Tigers: 26-31 SU / OU 29-27 / Runline 31-26
Philadelphia Phillies: 27-32 SU / OU 26-30 / Runline 24-35

Heading into their game vs. the Phillies, the Tigers have a record of 26-31 and have dropped three straight games. In the AL Central, they are in 3rd place and have an overall series record of 9-8-2. At home, they have gone 14-13 and 12-18 on the road.

  • The Tigers have covered the runline in 54.4% of their games and have an average run margin of -1.1
  • The Tigers have been favored in 10.5% of their games and have runline records of 15-12 and 16-14 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 52% of the Tigers’ 57 games at 29-27.

On a record of 27-32, the Phillies are 4th in the NL East. Currently, they are eight games out of the division lead. Against the Tigers, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 13-22 while going 14-10 at home. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 9-8-2.

  • The Phillies have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.6.
  • The Phillies have been favored in 59.3% of their games and have runline records of 9-15 and 15-20 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 26-30.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Joey Wentz 11 11 47 1-5 7.28 1.68 9

 

Detroit starter Joey Wentz enters with an overall record of 1-5 and ERA of 7.28. His ERA on the road is 11.62 and 8.96 when pitching at home. Wentz’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.68 with a batting average allowed of .312. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .518 against him.

Joey Wentz is coming off an outing against the Rangers in which he gave up one run and seven hits across 4 1/3 innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Tigers won by a score of 3-2.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Aaron Nola 12 12 74 4-4 4.70 1.12 12

 

Aaron Nola heads into the game with an overall record of 4-4 and an ERA of 4.70. In his eight appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 5.65 and record of 2-3. At home, he has put together a mark of 2-1 and ERA of 3.95. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.12, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .237. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .430.

In his most recent outing, Nola pitched for six innings and allowed four runs on four hits. Unfortunately, the Phillies suffered a 4-1 defeat to the Mets with Nola being tagged with the loss.

Tigers vs. Phillies Offense Outlook

The Tigers have played 58 games so far and are ranked 25th in the league with an average of 3.6 runs per game. Their home runs rank is 20th (47) and their overall batting average stands at .226. This includes a BA of .212 on the road and .222 at home.

Detroit Tigers Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Spencer Torkelson .244 4 .403 .304
Riley Greene .252 3 .398 .322
Matt Vierling .286 3 .407 .324
Javier Báez .229 1 .312 .270
Zach McKinstry .247 2 .377 .318

Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Spencer Torkelson .283 5 2 1 .500
Javier Báez .150 3 1 0 .300
Miguel Cabrera .500 4 1 0 .611
Andy Ibáñez .271 3 1 1 .729
Jake Rogers .083 1 1 1 .333

 

The Phillies have played 60 games and have an average of 4.3 runs per game, which puts them 19th in the league. Philadelphia has hit 64 home runs (13th). Their batting average comes in at .257, while hitting .247 on the road and .243 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters vs. Lefties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bryson Stott .328 2 .448 .357
Nick Castellanos .313 2 .493 .364
Alec Bohm .271 4 .525 .354
Trea Turner .182 2 .325 .250
Edmundo Sosa .280 2 .480 .346

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Nick Castellanos .530 11 2 2 .810
Kyle Schwarber .200 5 3 2 .480
Drew Ellis .333 4 4 2 .833
J.T. Realmuto .180 4 3 2 .500
Brandon Marsh .300 5 2 0 .350

 

Free MLB Pick

Joey Wentz is quite possibly the worst starting pitcher in Major League Baseball right now. Throw in the fact that the Tigers have only scored three runs in their last 27 innings, and we have a solid play on the Phillies.

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