Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Prediction 9/28/23
Date: Thursday, September 28th, 9:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: RSNW
Money Line: Rangers +104/Mariners -124
Total Line: 7.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Seattle Mariners and the Rangers on Thursday, September 28th at T-Mobile Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
ML | RL | Total | |
---|---|---|---|
TEX | +104 | +1.5 | O 7.5 (-111) |
SEA | -124 | -1.5 | U 7.5 (-109) |
Rangers vs. Mariners Projected Lineup
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
Marcus Semien | 1 | 2B |
Corey Seager | 2 | SS |
Nathaniel Lowe | 3 | 1B |
Josh Jung | 4 | 3B |
Adolis García | 5 | RF |
Jonah Heim | 6 | C |
Mitch Garver | 7 | DH |
Leody Taveras | 8 | CF |
Evan Carter | 9 | LF |
Jordan Montgomery | – | SP |
Batting Order | Position | |
---|---|---|
J.P. Crawford | 1 | SS |
Julio Rodríguez | 2 | CF |
Teoscar Hernández | 3 | DH |
Cal Raleigh | 4 | C |
Eugenio Suárez | 5 | 3B |
Ty France | 6 | 1B |
Dylan Moore | 7 | LF |
Sam Haggerty | 8 | RF |
Jose Caballero | 9 | 2B |
Logan Gilbert | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Texas Rangers: 89-69 SU / OU 84-68 / Runline 85-73
Seattle Mariners: 85-73 SU / OU 81-74 / Runline 76-82
The Rangers head into today’s game in first place in the AL West on a record of 89-69. Over their last five games, they have put together an above .500 record of 4-1. At home, Texas is 50-31 and 39-38 on the road. Their overall series record comes in at 28-19-2.
- The Rangers have covered the runline in 53.8% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.1
- The Rangers have been favored in 69.6% of their games and have runline records of 45-36 and 40-37 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 55% of the Rangers’ 158 games at 84-68.
Heading into today’s action, the Mariners’ record of 85-73 has them sitting 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 43-38 and 42-35, respectively. Seattle’s overall series record sits at 26-21-2.
- The Mariners have covered the runline in 48.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.6
- The Mariners have been favored in 68.4% of their games and have runline records of 31-46 and 45-36 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 52% of the Mariners’ 158 games at 81-74.
Pitching Matchup
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jordan Montgomery | 31 | 31 | 182 | 10-11 | 3.25 | 1.19 | 17 |
Jordan Montgomery has an overall record of 10-11, and will get the start for the Rangers. With 31 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.25, while his K/9 figure is 7.93. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.53 and an OBP of .289.
Jordan Montgomery finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Rangers took down the Mariners by final score of 2-0. Montgomery gave up zero runs and five hits across seven innings.
Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Logan Gilbert | 31 | 31 | 184 | 13-7 | 3.75 | 1.09 | 27 |
Today will be Logan Gilbert’s 32nd appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 13-7. His current ERA stands at 3.75 and OBP allowed of .267. So far, he struckout 184 batters and has a WHIP of 1.09. On the road, his ERA is 4.22 compared to 4.59 at home.
Logan Gilbert took the loss after allowing two runs on five hits in his previous outing against the Rangers. In the game, the Mariners fell 2-0.
Rangers vs. Mariners Offense Outlook
For the season, the Rangers are one of the top home runs hitting teams in the league with a total of 231 home runs (3rd). So far, Texas is averaging 5.5 runs per game with a collective batting average of .265. When playing at home, the Rangers have a slugging percentage of .412 compared to .484 at home.
Texas Rangers Top Hitters On The Road
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Marcus Semien | .264 | 11 | .429 | .333 |
Nathaniel Lowe | .258 | 6 | .391 | .335 |
Corey Seager | .327 | 10 | .556 | .390 |
Leody Taveras | .254 | 4 | .388 | .295 |
Josh Jung | .271 | 11 | .485 | .332 |
Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marcus Semien | .287 | 6 | 6 | 4 | .893 |
Adolis García | .330 | 6 | 5 | 3 | .907 |
Mitch Garver | .517 | 8 | 3 | 1 | .717 |
Evan Carter | .283 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .700 |
Corey Seager | .353 | 6 | 1 | 1 | .553 |
This season, Seattle is currently ranked 12th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Their home run count currently stands at 205, which is 11th in the MLB. The team’s batting average of .243 is 17th in the league, including 12th on the road compared to 25th at home.
Seattle Mariners Top Hitters vs. Lefties
Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
---|---|---|---|---|
Julio Rodríguez | .317 | 5 | .497 | .366 |
Ty France | .304 | 3 | .428 | .338 |
Teoscar Hernández | .306 | 7 | .545 | .360 |
J.P. Crawford | .255 | 1 | .340 | .320 |
Eugenio Suárez | .252 | 2 | .361 | .326 |
Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games
Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.P. Crawford | .230 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .650 |
Julio Rodríguez | .150 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .250 |
Teoscar Hernández | .217 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .367 |
Ty France | .340 | 7 | 2 | 1 | .540 |
Eugenio Suárez | .200 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .250 |
Free MLB Pick
Considering the recent form of the Rangers and the slight edge in pitching, it’s hard to ignore the value offered by their Money Line at +104.
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