Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets Total Prediction 8/30/23

Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets
Date: Wednesday, August 30th, 6:40 ET
Location: Citi Field
TV: SNY
Money Line: Rangers -153/Mets +128
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Mets and the Rangers on Wednesday, August 30th at Citi Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Rangers vs. Mets Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Marcus Semien	1	2B
Corey Seager	2	SS
Nathaniel Lowe	3	1B
Adolis García	4	RF
Mitch Garver	5	DH
Travis Jankowski	6	LF
Jonah Heim	7	C
Ezequiel Duran	8	3B
Leody Taveras	9	CF
Dane Dunning	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Brandon Nimmo	1	CF
Francisco Lindor	2	SS
Jeff McNeil	3	2B
Pete Alonso	4	1B
Daniel Vogelbach	5	DH
DJ Stewart	6	RF
Francisco Alvarez	7	C
Rafael Ortega	8	LF
Jonathan Araúz	9	3B
Denyi Reyes	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Texas Rangers: 75-57 SU / OU 65-61 / Runline 73-59
New York Mets: 60-73 SU / OU 53-73 / Runline 53-80

On a record of 75-57, the Rangers are tied for first place in the AL West. Against the Mets, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 33-33 while going 42-24 at home. Texas’ overall series record is 24-16-2.

• The Rangers have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.3.
• The Rangers have been favored in 67.4% of their games and have runline records of 40-26 and 33-33 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 52% of the Rangers’ 132 games at 65-61.

If the Mets are going to climb out of last place in the NL East, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Rangers. Heading into the game, the Mets have lost two straight games and stand with an overall record of 60-73. On the road, the Mets are 28-41 and 32-32 at home. The team’s overall series record is 15-23-5.

• The Mets have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.3.
• The Mets have been favored in 60.2% of their games and have runline records of 27-37 and 26-43 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Mets have an over/under record of just 53-73.

Pitching Matchup

 

Dane Dunning has an overall record of 9-6, and will get the start for the Rangers. With 28 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.36, while his K/9 figure is 7.05. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.11 and an OBP of .301.

The last time, Dunning took the mound, he lasted four innings, as the Rangers fell to the Twins (12-2). Individually, Dunning gave up five hits leading to four earned runs.

 

For the season, New York starter Denyi Reyes has a record of 0-2 and ERA of 7.50. One thing to note, is that he has given up four or more earned run in two straight games. Overall, he has a slugging percentage allowed of .444 with opponents putting together a batting average of .296 against him. In terms of strikeouts, he comes in with a season-long total of 12 while issuing seven walks.

The last time, Reyes took the mound, he lasted 4 2/3 innings, as the Mets fell to the Braves (21-3). Individually, Reyes gave up eight hits leading to five earned runs.

Rangers vs. Mets Offense Outlook

So far this season, the Rangers are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, having hit a total of 183 home runs (7th). Overall, Texas is averaging 5.6 runs per contest and have a collective batting average of .268. At home, the Rangers have a slugging percentage of .408 compared to .485 at home.

Texas Rangers Team Hitting Stats

 

Texas Rangers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

With and average of 4.3 runs per game, New York is 18th in the league so far this year. They have hit 170 home runs which is currently 11th in baseball. Their current batting average of .236 is ranked 18th in the league, while they have a .233 batting average on the road and .222 batting average at home.

New York Mets Team Hitting Stats

 

New York Mets Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

Free MLB Pick

Rangers Dane Dunning hasn’t looked sharp in his last two with his P/IP around 20 in both outings and being tagged with seven runs in just nine innings. Today’s Mets starter Denyi Reyes was called up from Syracuse and will make his third MLB start of the season where he has allowed 10 runs on 13 hits over 5 2/3 innings. Both teams’ run production has not been strong in recent games, but with the probable starters and the bullpen numbers I think we can get over the number. Take the Over 9.

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