Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles Value Pick | June 30

by | Last updated Jun 30, 2024 | mlb

Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles
Date: Sunday, June 30th, 7:10 ET
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TV: ESPN
Money Line: Rangers +133/Orioles -157 (Bet it FREE with a 100% bonus!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Baltimore Orioles and the Rangers on Sunday, June 30th at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TEX +133 +1.5 O 9 (-116)
BAL -157 -1.5 U 9 (-104)

From Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, the Orioles will host the Rangers, who are 6-6 on the season. Baltimore is currently on a four-game winning streak and they are 53-30 overall, which has them first in the AL East. Texas is 3rd in the AL West with an overall record of 37-46.

Andrew Heaney will start for the Rangers, while the Orioles are sending Cole Irvin to the mound. Baltimore is favored at -157 on the money line, while the Rangers’ odds are sitting at +133. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and this one can be seen on ESPN.

Rangers vs. Orioles Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Marcus Semien 1 2B
Corey Seager 2 SS
Robbie Grossman 3 DH
Adolis García 4 RF
Wyatt Langford 5 LF
Nathaniel Lowe 6 1B
Josh Smith 7 3B
Jonah Heim 8 C
Leody Taveras 9 CF
Andrew Heaney SP

 

Player Batting Order Position
Jordan Westburg 1 3B
Adley Rutschman 2 DH
Ryan Mountcastle 3 1B
Gunnar Henderson 4 SS
Anthony Santander 5 RF
Austin Hays 6 LF
Jorge Mateo 7 2B
James McCann 8 C
Colton Cowser 9 CF
Cole Irvin SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Texas Rangers: 37-46 SU / OU 32-48 / Runline 38-45
Baltimore Orioles: 53-30 SU / OU 42-31 / Runline 48-35

The most recent game o of this Orioles vs Rangers series came right down to the end, as the Rangers rallied late but still fell short with the Orioles winning 6-5 at home. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -168 on the money line.

Baltimore’s offense got off to a fast start in the game, scoring two runs in the first and adding four more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Rangers didn’t get on the board until the 5th and added their final two runs in the 6th. Texas actually outhit the Orioles in the game 9 to 7.

Cade Povich got the win for the Orioles, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two home runs. Craig Kimbrel closed things out for Baltimore. Michael Lorenzen had a rough outing for the Rangers, taking the loss.

Rangers Records & Recent Play

Texas is on the road today, looking to pick up a win vs. the Orioles and snap their six-game losing streak. The Rangers are 37-46 overall and trail the Mariners by nine games in the AL West. So far, they are 9-14 in divisional games.

At home, the Rangers have gone 20-19 this year compared to 17-27 on the road. As the underdog, the Rangers are 14-26 this year, and they have dropped five straight as the underdog. Texas’ overall series record is 11-14-1, and they are currently down 0-3 in this series vs. the Orioles.

When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs. Their overall run line record is 38-45, with a -0.2 run differential per game. They are 19-20 against the run line at home and 19-25 on the road. They are 21-19 against the run line as an underdog and 17-26 as a favorite. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have not lost against the run line in their last two games as an underdog.

The Texas Rangers are on the road today to face the Baltimore Orioles. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined season run average of 8.6 runs per game. The Rangers have played 80 games this season, and 54 of them have had over/under lines set lower than 9 runs.

Orioles Records & Recent Play

The Orioles are 53-30 overall and lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. Baltimore has won four straight games, and they are 19-7 against other teams in the AL East. So far, they have taken all three games of this series vs. the Rangers.

As the home team, the Orioles are 29-16 this year compared to 24-14 on the road. Baltimore has been favored in 67 games, going 43-24 in those contests. As the underdog, the Orioles are 10-6 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 17-6-3 and have lost two straight series.

When the Orioles win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is 3.9 runs per game. That’s a big reason why they are 48-35 against the run line this season. They are 24-21 against the run line at home, where their average run margin is 1.4 runs per game. They are 24-14 against the run line on the road, where their average run margin is 1.5 runs per game. They are also 12-4 against the run line as an underdog this season.

The Baltimore Orioles are playing at home today against the Texas Rangers. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for Orioles games this season. Baltimore has a 42-31 O/U record on the year, and their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 9 runs, the Orioles are 5-9-3 O/U. Only 3.6% of their games have had O/U lines set at 9 runs, while 75.9% of their games have had lower O/U lines.

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Pitching Matchup

Texas is sending left-hander Andrew Heaney to the mound today vs. the Orioles. Heaney has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 2-9. His ERA is 4.17, and opponents are batting .254 this year. Heaney’s WHIP for the season is 1.31. In his last outing, Heaney took the loss, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, he has finished with a no-decision in two outings and has lost the other two.

Cole Irvin gets the start for the Orioles today and is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Guardians, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a total of eight hits and one homer. Before that, he had pitched pretty well, going 5 2/3 innings in back-to-back starts and giving up three earned runs or fewer in each of those outings. Irvin’s ERA for the season is 3.74, along with a record of 6-4. Opponents are batting .277 off the left-hander this season.

Rangers vs. Orioles Offense Outlook

Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager have been the Rangers’ top power threats this season, with Garcia leading the team with 16 homers and Seager right behind him at 15. However, Garcia is batting just .220 for the season, and Seager isn’t far above the Mendoza line at .260. Marcus Semien comes into the game with a team-high 44 RBIs but is batting just .237.

Seager is currently on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone deep three times over his past seven games. During this stretch, he is batting .286. Garcia has also gone deep three times in his last seven games, going 8/28 overall.

As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They also have the league’s best slugging percentage and OPS. Baltimore has been especially good at home this season, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .255, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

Gunnar Henderson has been on a tear of late, going 11/27 in his last seven games with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .292 with a league-leading 26 home runs. Adley Rutschman is right behind him in terms of RBIs, as his 55 RBIs are the 2nd-best mark on the team and 8th-best in the league. Santander and Rutschman are 3rd and 2nd on the team in homers, respectively.

Free Rangers vs. Orioles MLB Pick

This has been a terrible week for the Rangers, as they were swept in a three-game set vs. the Brewers to start the week, now they are looking to salvage at least one game of this series vs. Baltimore. Heaney pitched fairly well in his last game vs. the Brewers, and his record in the month of June is 1-3, despite putting together a 3.62 ERA for the month. On the other end, Cole Irving had a 5.47 ERA in June. With the Rangers’ money line sitting at +133, I like them to pick up the win and break out of their losing streak.

Be sure to check out our new feature writer (and former sportsbook director) Rich Dressler’s column “Batting the Books!”

 

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