Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Francisco Giants Odds, Analysis, Pick

by | Last updated Aug 14, 2023 | mlb

Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Francisco Giants
Date: Monday, August 14th, 9:45 ET
Location: Oracle Park
TV: NSPB
Money Line: Rays -141/Giants +119
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the San Francisco Giants and the Rays on Monday, August 14th at Oracle Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TB -141 -1.5 O 7.5 (-120)
SF +119 +1.5 U 7.5 (100)

Rays vs. Giants Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Yandy Díaz 1 1B
Wander Franco 2 SS
Brandon Lowe 3 2B
Randy Arozarena 4 LF
Isaac Paredes 5 3B
Luke Raley 6 DH
Josh Lowe 7 RF
Jose Siri 8 CF
Christian Bethancourt 9 C
Tyler Glasnow SP


Batting Order Position
LaMonte Wade Jr. 1 1B
Thairo Estrada 2 2B
Wilmer Flores 3 DH
Joc Pederson 4 LF
J.D. Davis 5 3B
Michael Conforto 6 RF
Patrick Bailey 7 C
Brandon Crawford 8 SS
Luis Matos 9 CF
Ryan Walker SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Tampa Bay Rays: 71-49 SU / OU 62-54 / Runline 59-61
San Francisco Giants: 63-55 SU / OU 50-65 / Runline 57-61

Heading into today’s action, the Rays’ record of 71-49 has them sitting 2nd in the AL East. Currently, they are three games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 31-27 and 40-22, respectively. Tampa Bay’s overall series record sits at 20-12-5.

  • The Rays have five straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.2.
  • The Rays have been favored in 83.3% of their games and have runline records of 30-32 and 29-29 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Rays’ 120 games at 62-54.

Heading into today’s action, the Giants’ record of 63-55 has them sitting 2nd in the NL West. Currently, they are 8.5 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 1-4 and have a road and home record of 29-29 and 34-26, respectively. San Francisco’s overall series record sits at 18-18-2.

  • The Giants have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
  • The Giants have been favored in 54.2% of their games and have runline records of 29-31 and 28-30 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Giants have an over/under record of just 50-65.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Tyler Glasnow 12 12 68 5-3 3.15 1.08 9

 

Tyler Glasnow heads into the game with an overall record of 5-3 and an ERA of 3.15. In his five appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 2.86 and record of 3-1. At home, he has put together a mark of 2-2 and ERA of 3.92. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.08, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .194. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .351.

Tyler Glasnow finished with a quality start and a win in his last appearance, as the Rays took down the Yankees by final score of 5-1. Glasnow gave up one run and three hits across seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Ryan Walker 30 8 41 4-1 2.40 1.19 5

 

Starter Ryan Walker comes in with an overall record of 4-1 for the Giants. Having made 30 appearances, his ERA is 2.40 and he has a K/9 figure of 9.58. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.65 and an OBP of .283.

Ryan Walker had a rough outing in his last appearance, allowing zero runs in just one inning of work. Walker did not factor in the decision as the Giants lost to the Rangers by a score of 2-1.

Rays vs. Giants Offense Outlook

With 173 home runs hit so far this season (4th), the Rays are one of the best home run hitting teams in baseball. They are averaging 5.2 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .255. The team’s slugging percentage is .434 on the road and .438 at home.

Tampa Bay Rays Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Rays 120 5.2 (4th) 173 (4th) .255 (8th) .327 (7th) .327 (7th)

 

Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Wander Franco .550 8 4 2 1.113
Randy Arozarena .267 5 3 0 .367
Yandy Díaz .347 7 3 0 .487
Jose Siri .250 3 2 2 .833
Josh Lowe .354 5 3 0 .438

 

On offense, San Francisco is 17th in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. When looking at their home run numbers, they are 18th, having hit 131 homers. Their overall batting average is .238, including .227 on the road and .235 at home.

San Francisco Giants Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Giants 118 4.4 (17th) 131 (18th) .238 (15th) .314 (15th) .314 (15th)

 

San Francisco Giants Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Michael Conforto .417 5 3 2 1.000
Patrick Bailey .287 4 1 1 .438
Heliot Ramos .528 3 2 1 1.278
Thairo Estrada .250 5 0 0 .300
Wilmer Flores .062 1 2 0 .125

 

Free MLB Pick

I’m willing to take a shot on the run line here. The Rays have a big edge on offense in nearly every metric. Giants’ rookie Ryan Walker gets the start and while he has pitched very well lately in relief and as an opener, he’s very unlikely to go more than two or three innings. Tyler Glasnow is pitching probably the best in his career right now and will be facing a SF team that has failed to score more than three runs in their last four games. Take Tampa Bay -1.5 +130.

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