Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Total Pick

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
Date: Sunday, May 14th, 1:35 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: YES
Money Line: Rays -119/Yankees +101
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the New York Yankees and the Rays on Sunday, May 14th at Yankee Stadium. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Rays vs. Yankees Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Yandy Díaz	1	1B
Wander Franco	2	SS
Randy Arozarena	3	LF
Brandon Lowe	4	2B
Harold Ramírez	5	DH
Josh Lowe	6	CF
Isaac Paredes	7	3B
Christian Bethancourt	8	C
Jose Siri	9	CF
Zach Eflin	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Anthony Volpe	1	SS
Aaron Judge	2	RF
Anthony Rizzo	3	1B
Gleyber Torres	4	2B
DJ LeMahieu	5	3B
Harrison Bader	6	CF
Jake Bauers	7	LF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	8	SS
Jose Trevino	9	C
Clarke Schmidt	–	RP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Tampa Bay Rays: 30-11 SU / OU 22-16 / Runline 25-16
New York Yankees: 23-18 SU / OU 18-22 / Runline 21-20

Against the Yankees, the Rays are looking to shake a two two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 30-11 is stil good for 1st in the AL East. At home, Tampa Bay has gone 19-3 and 11-8 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 9-3.

• The Rays have covered the runline in 61.0% of their games and have an average run margin of 2.9
• The Rays have been favored in 90.2% of their games and have runline records of 14-8 and 11-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 58% of the Rays’ 41 games at 22-16.

On a record of 23-18, the Yankees are 4th in the AL East. Currently, they are seven games out of the division lead. Against the Rays, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 7-9 while going 16-9 at home. New York’s overall series record is 7-4.

• The Yankees have covered the runline in 51.2% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
• The Yankees have been favored in 75.6% of their games and have runline records of 13-12 and 8-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Yankees have an over/under record of just 18-22.

Pitching Matchup




Zach Eflin heads into the game with an overall record of 4-1 and an ERA of 2.91. In his two appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 4.80 and record of 0-1. At home, he has put together a mark of 4-0 and ERA of 2.02. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.03, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .238. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .400.

Eflin is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs and seven hits in six innings of action. Tampa Bay lost the game by a score of 4-2 to the Orioles.




The Yankees will turn to starter Clarke Schmidt who has an overall record of 1-3. Through eight appearances his ERA stands at 5.35 with a K/9 figure of 1.2. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.91 to go along with an OBP of .360.

New York is hoping that Clarke Schmidt can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Athletics (10-5) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with two earned runs on five hits across six innings.

Rays vs. Yankees Offense Outlook

The Rays have played 41 games so far this season and are currently ranked 1st in the league with an average of 6.1 runs per game. In terms of home run hitting, Tampa Bay is 1st, having hit the ball out of the park 80 times. Their overall batting average is .276, including .285 on the road and .256 at home.

Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters On The Road




Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters: Last Five Games




As of now, the Yankees are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with a total of 57 home runs (5th). Their overall performance has been impressive, averaging 4.5 runs per game with a collective batting average of .236. When playing on the road, their slugging percentage is .369 compared to .428 at home.

New York Yankees Top Bats




New York Yankees Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

In this upcoming game between the Yankees and the Phillies, Zach Eflin will be looking to continue his strong season as he makes his first career start at Yankee Stadium. Eflin has been nothing short of brilliant in day games, boasting a perfect 3-0 record with an impressive ERA of 1.06 and a WHIP of 0.59. While this will be his first encounter with Aaron Judge, he has demonstrated success against Anthony Rizzo, who has been in stellar form, holding him to just three hits in 16 at-bats.

Taking the mound for the home side is Clarke Schmidt, who has been performing well as of late. Schmidt has held the opposition to two or fewer runs in three out of his last four starts. The Yankees have been carefully managing Schmidt’s transition from a long reliever to a starter, and their approach seems to have paid off, as he recorded his first quality start in his latest outing.

Despite the Yankees stringing together six consecutive Overs in recent games, I’m going against the trend and finding betting value in the Under for this matchup. Both Eflin’s strong performances and Schmidt’s recent success on the mound indicate the potential for a low-scoring game. With that in mind, I recommend taking the Under 9 at -110.